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Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. The BDI index decreased by around 50% from mid-December until the end of January and moved to the ytd low of 595 points on 11 February. Although a moderate drop was expected – having become a “seasonal phenomenon”, with subsequent losses before and during the Chinese lunar year – the magnitude of the decline in rates and indexes was largely unexpected. Moreover, the extended Capesize weakness continues to keep the BDI below 700 points despite the fact that earnings for the rest of the sizes have substantially recovered in the past weeks.
As was expected, in a period of three months with low freight rates, asset prices were also affected. However, naturally, the decrease on assets did not equal the decline of the freight rates. In the Capesize sector, it is notable that within the first quarter of 2019, there were no SnP transactions. Owners of the specific segment, despite having witnessed a dramatic fall in rates are so far showing resistance.
In the Panamax sector, the ‘TAURUS OCEAN’ (78,819dwt-blt ’08, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $14.5m, while a few days ago it was reported that the ‘ATLAS B’ (76,554dwt-blt ’08, Japan), was sold for a price in the region of $12.1m, similarly resulting to a 17% decrease.
The smaller decline of asset prices can be observed in Supramaxes of around 10 years old. The ‘OCEAN COLOSSUS’ (58,831dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold at end of December for a price in the region of $15.5m, while her identical sister ‘KOREAN LILY’ (58,713dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold two weeks ago for a price in the region of $14.2m, indicating only a 8% decrease.
There is greater asset price elasticity for Handysizes than that observed in Supramaxes. Indicatively, the ‘ASIAN BEAUTY’ (28,218dwt-blt ’11, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $9.5m, while a sister vessel, the ‘TOKOMARU BAY’ (28,258dwt-blt ’11, Japan), was committed a few days ago for a price in the region of $8.2m, indicating a 14% decrease.
It should be noted that the aforementioned comparisons are indicative and do not accurately represent the exact asset price decreases across segments. They do, nevertheless, offer us an indication of the underlying pricing trends, coupled with how prices fared in the past few months.
The slow market recovery to pre-Christmas levels or similar, does not seem to be creating such a big concern in the SnP market. Despite the discounted rates, SnP activity remains elevated overall even though sellers have shown greater than expected resistance. There appears to be a positive sentiment generally, resulting in many ship-owners buying low or replacing older tonnage with more modern units. All in all, there is some optimism that there will be an increase of freight rates in q2 and q3, as indicated by charterers asking for vessels for period charters in far better levels compared to the spot market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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