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Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. The BDI index decreased by around 50% from mid-December until the end of January and moved to the ytd low of 595 points on 11 February. Although a moderate drop was expected – having become a “seasonal phenomenon”, with subsequent losses before and during the Chinese lunar year – the magnitude of the decline in rates and indexes was largely unexpected. Moreover, the extended Capesize weakness continues to keep the BDI below 700 points despite the fact that earnings for the rest of the sizes have substantially recovered in the past weeks.
As was expected, in a period of three months with low freight rates, asset prices were also affected. However, naturally, the decrease on assets did not equal the decline of the freight rates. In the Capesize sector, it is notable that within the first quarter of 2019, there were no SnP transactions. Owners of the specific segment, despite having witnessed a dramatic fall in rates are so far showing resistance.
In the Panamax sector, the ‘TAURUS OCEAN’ (78,819dwt-blt ’08, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $14.5m, while a few days ago it was reported that the ‘ATLAS B’ (76,554dwt-blt ’08, Japan), was sold for a price in the region of $12.1m, similarly resulting to a 17% decrease.
The smaller decline of asset prices can be observed in Supramaxes of around 10 years old. The ‘OCEAN COLOSSUS’ (58,831dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold at end of December for a price in the region of $15.5m, while her identical sister ‘KOREAN LILY’ (58,713dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold two weeks ago for a price in the region of $14.2m, indicating only a 8% decrease.
There is greater asset price elasticity for Handysizes than that observed in Supramaxes. Indicatively, the ‘ASIAN BEAUTY’ (28,218dwt-blt ’11, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $9.5m, while a sister vessel, the ‘TOKOMARU BAY’ (28,258dwt-blt ’11, Japan), was committed a few days ago for a price in the region of $8.2m, indicating a 14% decrease.
It should be noted that the aforementioned comparisons are indicative and do not accurately represent the exact asset price decreases across segments. They do, nevertheless, offer us an indication of the underlying pricing trends, coupled with how prices fared in the past few months.
The slow market recovery to pre-Christmas levels or similar, does not seem to be creating such a big concern in the SnP market. Despite the discounted rates, SnP activity remains elevated overall even though sellers have shown greater than expected resistance. There appears to be a positive sentiment generally, resulting in many ship-owners buying low or replacing older tonnage with more modern units. All in all, there is some optimism that there will be an increase of freight rates in q2 and q3, as indicated by charterers asking for vessels for period charters in far better levels compared to the spot market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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