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Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. The BDI index decreased by around 50% from mid-December until the end of January and moved to the ytd low of 595 points on 11 February. Although a moderate drop was expected – having become a “seasonal phenomenon”, with subsequent losses before and during the Chinese lunar year – the magnitude of the decline in rates and indexes was largely unexpected. Moreover, the extended Capesize weakness continues to keep the BDI below 700 points despite the fact that earnings for the rest of the sizes have substantially recovered in the past weeks.
As was expected, in a period of three months with low freight rates, asset prices were also affected. However, naturally, the decrease on assets did not equal the decline of the freight rates. In the Capesize sector, it is notable that within the first quarter of 2019, there were no SnP transactions. Owners of the specific segment, despite having witnessed a dramatic fall in rates are so far showing resistance.
In the Panamax sector, the ‘TAURUS OCEAN’ (78,819dwt-blt ’08, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $14.5m, while a few days ago it was reported that the ‘ATLAS B’ (76,554dwt-blt ’08, Japan), was sold for a price in the region of $12.1m, similarly resulting to a 17% decrease.
The smaller decline of asset prices can be observed in Supramaxes of around 10 years old. The ‘OCEAN COLOSSUS’ (58,831dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold at end of December for a price in the region of $15.5m, while her identical sister ‘KOREAN LILY’ (58,713dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold two weeks ago for a price in the region of $14.2m, indicating only a 8% decrease.
There is greater asset price elasticity for Handysizes than that observed in Supramaxes. Indicatively, the ‘ASIAN BEAUTY’ (28,218dwt-blt ’11, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $9.5m, while a sister vessel, the ‘TOKOMARU BAY’ (28,258dwt-blt ’11, Japan), was committed a few days ago for a price in the region of $8.2m, indicating a 14% decrease.
It should be noted that the aforementioned comparisons are indicative and do not accurately represent the exact asset price decreases across segments. They do, nevertheless, offer us an indication of the underlying pricing trends, coupled with how prices fared in the past few months.
The slow market recovery to pre-Christmas levels or similar, does not seem to be creating such a big concern in the SnP market. Despite the discounted rates, SnP activity remains elevated overall even though sellers have shown greater than expected resistance. There appears to be a positive sentiment generally, resulting in many ship-owners buying low or replacing older tonnage with more modern units. All in all, there is some optimism that there will be an increase of freight rates in q2 and q3, as indicated by charterers asking for vessels for period charters in far better levels compared to the spot market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 December 19
OPEC PREPS FOR OIL'S 2020 BALANCING ACT - WOOD MACKENZIE
What steps should OPEC and its non-OPEC partners take to keep the market in balance in 2020? Ahead of OPEC’s meeting in Vienna on 5 and 6 Dec ...
Monday, 02 December 19
GREENER LNG IS VITAL TO ASIA'S SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - WOOD MACKENZIE
Asia struggles with the world’s worst air pollution. Delhi hit the headlines in November 2019 as levels spiked to such hazardous levels that ...
Monday, 02 December 19
5TH EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA GAS & LNG CONFERENCE 2020
5th East & Southern Africa Gas & LNG Conference 2020
April 2-3
Maputo, Mozambique
5th East & Southern Afri ...
Monday, 02 December 19
5TH DEEPWATER EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA CONGRESS 2020
5th Deepwater East & Southern Africa Congress 2020
April 2-3
Maputo, Mozambique
5th Deepwater East & Southern ...
Sunday, 01 December 19
6TH CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE NUCLEAR INDUSTRY CONGRESS 2020
6th Central & Eastern Europe Nuclear Industry Congress 2020
January 20-21 | Prague, Czech Republic
Overview
6th ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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