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Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. The BDI index decreased by around 50% from mid-December until the end of January and moved to the ytd low of 595 points on 11 February. Although a moderate drop was expected – having become a “seasonal phenomenon”, with subsequent losses before and during the Chinese lunar year – the magnitude of the decline in rates and indexes was largely unexpected. Moreover, the extended Capesize weakness continues to keep the BDI below 700 points despite the fact that earnings for the rest of the sizes have substantially recovered in the past weeks.
As was expected, in a period of three months with low freight rates, asset prices were also affected. However, naturally, the decrease on assets did not equal the decline of the freight rates. In the Capesize sector, it is notable that within the first quarter of 2019, there were no SnP transactions. Owners of the specific segment, despite having witnessed a dramatic fall in rates are so far showing resistance.
In the Panamax sector, the ‘TAURUS OCEAN’ (78,819dwt-blt ’08, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $14.5m, while a few days ago it was reported that the ‘ATLAS B’ (76,554dwt-blt ’08, Japan), was sold for a price in the region of $12.1m, similarly resulting to a 17% decrease.
The smaller decline of asset prices can be observed in Supramaxes of around 10 years old. The ‘OCEAN COLOSSUS’ (58,831dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold at end of December for a price in the region of $15.5m, while her identical sister ‘KOREAN LILY’ (58,713dwt-blt ’10, Japan), was sold two weeks ago for a price in the region of $14.2m, indicating only a 8% decrease.
There is greater asset price elasticity for Handysizes than that observed in Supramaxes. Indicatively, the ‘ASIAN BEAUTY’ (28,218dwt-blt ’11, Japan) was sold last November for a price in the region of $9.5m, while a sister vessel, the ‘TOKOMARU BAY’ (28,258dwt-blt ’11, Japan), was committed a few days ago for a price in the region of $8.2m, indicating a 14% decrease.
It should be noted that the aforementioned comparisons are indicative and do not accurately represent the exact asset price decreases across segments. They do, nevertheless, offer us an indication of the underlying pricing trends, coupled with how prices fared in the past few months.
The slow market recovery to pre-Christmas levels or similar, does not seem to be creating such a big concern in the SnP market. Despite the discounted rates, SnP activity remains elevated overall even though sellers have shown greater than expected resistance. There appears to be a positive sentiment generally, resulting in many ship-owners buying low or replacing older tonnage with more modern units. All in all, there is some optimism that there will be an increase of freight rates in q2 and q3, as indicated by charterers asking for vessels for period charters in far better levels compared to the spot market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 29 December 19
AUSTRALIA SUFFERS WORST OF CHINA'S COAL CURBS AFTER EARLIER BOOM - BLOOMBERG
Australia is bearing the brunt of China’s year-end coal import restrictions, ceding market share to other exporters including Russia and Mong ...
Saturday, 28 December 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000DWT VESSEL, OPEN CIGADING, FIXED A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $8,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week has been attempting to recalibrate itself in consideration of weakening freight levels and increasing ...
Saturday, 28 December 19
CHINESE INDUSTRIAL CITY TO FURTHER CUT COAL CONSUMPTION - XINHUA
Harbin, capital city of Heilongjiang Province in China’s northeastern industrial heartland, is planning to further reduce its coal consumptio ...
Friday, 27 December 19
MISERY LOOMS OVER TOP COAL SHIPPERS AS CHINA TO BUY LESS IN 2020 BLOOMBERG
China isn’t cutting back on consumption of the most-polluting fossil fuel just yet, but it is set to reduce imports.
The world ...
Thursday, 26 December 19
REVIEW OF 2019 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2020 - OPEC
Global economic growth slowed in 2019, impacted by a variety of challenges. Trade issues not only led to reduction in global final consumption but ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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