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Wednesday, 06 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 In a downward moving market, softer SnP activity is usually a given, as the gap between Sellers’ and Buyers’ ideas widens, especially when the drop in rates takes place in a relatively short period of times, which was the case recently. Aside from the levels of the market and the respective number of deals as this is depicted in the table below, what might be even more interesting to look at is whether in these cases asset prices also moved in tandem with SnP activity and to what degree.
In the case of the 28kdwt Japanese Handy, the number of sales during the first two months of 2017 was more than double compared to the same period this year. Two years ago a 2006 built vessel was valued at high USD 5 million, while the same amount of money will today get you a 2004 built vessel –four years older – even though the BHSI is around the same levels.
As far as Supramax SnP ytd activity is concerned, this is decreased around 30% compared to 2017, while prices are today at relatively higher levels. Indeed, a 57k dwt 2011 Chinese built vessel was valued at around mid- USD 9 million back then, while a 57k dwt 2011 Chinese built Supra was fixed today for high- USD 9 million.
The fact that a very bad year preceded Q1 2017 certainly allowed for more deals back then, with Buyers being hungry for tonnage, after the market had finally started to move up, and Sellers being “exhausted” following many challenging months and ready to accept lower levels. In trying to offer an explanation for the price resistance one could say that Buyers could be already cashing in an extended recovery in rates (after all earnings have already been improving for all other sizes but Capes), which renders them more aggressive in securing tonnage in a market that had already seen a number of candidates being withdrawn.
So the anxiety that this could be a window of opportunity to invest that could be soon closing as the market recovers plays a significant role in supporting asset prices. Many are indeed expecting that prices will not adjust accordingly to today’s rates and that positive freight performance from a point onwards will eventually result in even higher prices, which in retrospect will render todays levels as the window of opportunity. So maybe it is time to redefine what “window of opportunity” means and whether this is a short term correction in prices compared to the very recent past or a longer period during which asset prices align with earnings.
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
Wednesday, 20 March 19
COAL EXPORT FEARS RESURFACE AS RESTRICTIONS HIT MORE CHINESE PORTS AND AUSTRALIAN PRICES COP A 'BELTING' - ABC
Australian thermal coal exports to China are under increasing pressure, with indications import restrictions are spreading to other key ports.
...
Monday, 18 March 19
A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY CHINA, AT $10,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Baltic Capesize market shrugged off its recent negative sentiment to post daily incremental improvements over the last week. Pacif ...
Saturday, 16 March 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL STILL FACING CHINESE DELAY - AAP
Australian coal exports to China are still facing delays, with protectionism and environmental checks blamed for the slowdown.
Coal ...
Thursday, 14 March 19
SUPRAMAX: INDO COAL CARGOES GETTING FIXED AT AROUND US$ 12000 TO CHINA - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earning still well below operating costs, and owners keep bleeding - but nevertheless finally some bright spots for the ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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