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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevailing topics as of late. From the start of this month the BDI has eased back to below 700bp and having recorded throughout this period an average of 624bp, there is little room for any bullish views to be portrayed at this point.
According to Allied research analyst, Thomas Chasapis, the focus now, is as to what sort of contagion the recent trends are having on other parts of the dry bulk market.
Allied latest report says let’s have a quick look at the paper market, with its portrayal of a steep reverse in sentiment and the new market “standard” which is prevailing right now. In the Capesize segment the FFA 5TC-average index figure for the remaining 2019 is now roughly at US$ 11,200 pd, while just at the end of the previous year, the figure was in the region of US$ 16,304 pd, a decline of 31.3%. Taking the same comparison for the other main size segments, the trend is fairly similar. For the 4TC-average of the Panamax, the decline was 13.4%, for the 10TC-average for Supramaxes was 7.5%, and finally, the Handysize TC average had a downward correction of 10%. If these corrections seem “petty” (except maybe that of the Capesize), just imagine where these numbers would be if we hadn’t witnessed this last 2-week mini rally in the freight market for the Panamax (+16.3%), Supramax (+62.9%) and Handysize (+23.9%).
Thomas Chasapis noted, many would argue that the FFA market is not the best reflection of forward sentiment for the actual freight market, with the argument being that a different set of drivers influence FFAs, some of which are not core fundamentals of the actual freight market. In any case, taking new-building activity as a secondary indicator as to forward sentiment the overall picture seems to be relatively the same. Looking at the past 3-months, total new contracting activity for the dry bulk segment as a whole in terms of tonnage capacity was 6.12MMdwt. While during the same period one year back, the equivalent figure was 13.1MMdwt, indicating a drop of 53.3%. Certainly, the main share in this decline is mostly attributed to the Capesize segment, which in fact truly has the most problematic and puzzling outlook for the time being. Notwithstanding this, even if we take as an assumption that most interested parties have already adopted a more conservative attitude, the slide in terms of new investments is still clearly apparent.
As a final key measure as to the prevailing forward sentiment we could also take a peek at what we have seen in the Sale & Purchase market as of late. In the year so far, we are a seeing a drop of 37.8% in terms of number of transactions taking place compared to the same period back in 2018, while in terms of total tonnage capacity this drop amplifies to 40.4%, also reflecting in part the shift in preference towards the smaller size segments. Moreover, if it wasn’t for the robust activity noted in the Panamax segment, nourished in part by the plethora of sales candidates circulated as of late in the market, we would be facing a significantly bigger drop. So, given that there isn’t the necessary optimism and/or appetite to push things further at this point, there is a general lack in confidence to push for any “bargain” hunting either. The correct description here therefore seems to be a that of a market in a “stand still”, something that may well prove to be more perilous than a market that has a clear direction even if that direction is one of a downward spiral.
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Wednesday, 06 February 19
THE BDI HAS EASED BACK TO 645 BP, ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE AUGUST 2016 - ALLIED
The dry bulk sector is in the doldrums, with most market participants seemingly left utterly perplexed, and simultaneously, in pursuit of any posit ...
Monday, 04 February 19
COAL STILL IN HIGH DEMAND GLOBALLY
Although the world is switching to renewable energy there is still a big demand for coal around the globe.
This is according to Cany ...
Friday, 01 February 19
ULTRAMAX WAS FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN, FOR TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $7,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Vale dam tragedy sparked a sharp fall in rates across all regions even where tonnage remained tight. The potential loss of product ...
Friday, 01 February 19
SEMBCORP SELECTS NORDEN FOR LONG-TERM INDIAN CONTRACT
NORDEN A/S has signed a 10-year Panamax Contract of Affreightment (COA) with Indian utility firm Sembcorp Energy India Ltd.
From 1 A ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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