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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevailing topics as of late. From the start of this month the BDI has eased back to below 700bp and having recorded throughout this period an average of 624bp, there is little room for any bullish views to be portrayed at this point.
According to Allied research analyst, Thomas Chasapis, the focus now, is as to what sort of contagion the recent trends are having on other parts of the dry bulk market.
Allied latest report says let’s have a quick look at the paper market, with its portrayal of a steep reverse in sentiment and the new market “standard” which is prevailing right now. In the Capesize segment the FFA 5TC-average index figure for the remaining 2019 is now roughly at US$ 11,200 pd, while just at the end of the previous year, the figure was in the region of US$ 16,304 pd, a decline of 31.3%. Taking the same comparison for the other main size segments, the trend is fairly similar. For the 4TC-average of the Panamax, the decline was 13.4%, for the 10TC-average for Supramaxes was 7.5%, and finally, the Handysize TC average had a downward correction of 10%. If these corrections seem “petty” (except maybe that of the Capesize), just imagine where these numbers would be if we hadn’t witnessed this last 2-week mini rally in the freight market for the Panamax (+16.3%), Supramax (+62.9%) and Handysize (+23.9%).
Thomas Chasapis noted, many would argue that the FFA market is not the best reflection of forward sentiment for the actual freight market, with the argument being that a different set of drivers influence FFAs, some of which are not core fundamentals of the actual freight market. In any case, taking new-building activity as a secondary indicator as to forward sentiment the overall picture seems to be relatively the same. Looking at the past 3-months, total new contracting activity for the dry bulk segment as a whole in terms of tonnage capacity was 6.12MMdwt. While during the same period one year back, the equivalent figure was 13.1MMdwt, indicating a drop of 53.3%. Certainly, the main share in this decline is mostly attributed to the Capesize segment, which in fact truly has the most problematic and puzzling outlook for the time being. Notwithstanding this, even if we take as an assumption that most interested parties have already adopted a more conservative attitude, the slide in terms of new investments is still clearly apparent.
As a final key measure as to the prevailing forward sentiment we could also take a peek at what we have seen in the Sale & Purchase market as of late. In the year so far, we are a seeing a drop of 37.8% in terms of number of transactions taking place compared to the same period back in 2018, while in terms of total tonnage capacity this drop amplifies to 40.4%, also reflecting in part the shift in preference towards the smaller size segments. Moreover, if it wasn’t for the robust activity noted in the Panamax segment, nourished in part by the plethora of sales candidates circulated as of late in the market, we would be facing a significantly bigger drop. So, given that there isn’t the necessary optimism and/or appetite to push things further at this point, there is a general lack in confidence to push for any “bargain” hunting either. The correct description here therefore seems to be a that of a market in a “stand still”, something that may well prove to be more perilous than a market that has a clear direction even if that direction is one of a downward spiral.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
CHINA RESTRICTS SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS - WOOD MACKENZIE
In response to news on China's Dalian port restricting seaborne coal imports, Wood Mackenzie's experts provide the following commentary.
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Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has be ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
EFFECTIVE NOTICES OF ARBITRATION - AVOIDING WASTED COSTS AND A POTENTIALLY TIME-BARRED CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a recent case, The Amity [2017], charterers successfully set aside an arbitration award on the basis that ow ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in com ...
Tuesday, 19 February 19
AUSTRALIA'S COAL FUTURE UNDER THREAT AS MORE CHANGES HIT FOSSIL FUELS GLOBALLY - ABC
Two disparate decisions from opposite corners of the world have sounded warnings for the future of Australia’s coal industry.
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
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