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Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in combination with the deadly dam accident in Brazil earlier this year. The latter is a serious disruption that has already had an immediate negative impact on Capesize earnings. Brazil is the world’s second largest iron ore producer country after Australia, with approx. 70% of exports going to East Asia, and most iron ore consists of the highest quality found worldwide that does not require much processing. In addition, other production sites in Brazil are now in the public eye and currently under scrutiny when it comes down to their procedures, safety protocols and infrastructure and might not be able to increase production as desired. Hence, the imminent decrease of Brazil’s output will definitely reduce ton-mile revenue for Capes. The question now is if China is able to, and if they will respond with an increase of their domestic production from their high-cost mines, which will furthermore keep Cape revenues from rebounding to previous higher observed levels.
Besides the Capesize segment, the sudden drop and the swift reversal of sentiment was observed across all major trading routes and all ship sizes. This could be due to the turbulence deriving from the US-China trade war. While many reports/forecasts have been published and a lot of opinions have been heard, the only sure thing is that it adds uncertainty to the an already worrying global economy and a puzzled (amid coming regulations) shipping ecosystem. In the beginning, when the second worldwide largest economy showed signals of slowing down and seemed unable to maintain growth figures, analysts were pointing to the trade war. Recently though, many are wondering if a Chinese structural and fundamental problem will soon surface. In my point of view, if such problem does exist, the shipping world should focus on how the Chinese administration would tackle it. The country’s administration is currently signaling potential further stimulus measures and several are debating if such a program will have a positive impact on seaborne trade and to what degree.
The very slow fresh cargo supply of the past couple of months resulted in a slowdown of SnP activity, which is down 33% ytd. However, from the start of last week a more normal flow of cargo is observed and the BDI showed signs of recovering. At the same time, comparing past week’s SnP market to the start of this month we noted fresh prospective buyers coming on-board ships, while proven buyers took the opportunity to test sellers with levels depicting current market conditions and establishing new market levels.
Whilst some owners worry that we are entering a global bear market and are skeptical if this downturn was an indicator of a more structural issue, the BDI is now on a positive trend and others believe that we are heading towards more stable days having just experienced a short parenthesis in a market that is generally moving towards a healthy recovery and in that respect they maintain their bullish views and appetite for candidates offered at levels in line with current freight rates.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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