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Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in combination with the deadly dam accident in Brazil earlier this year. The latter is a serious disruption that has already had an immediate negative impact on Capesize earnings. Brazil is the world’s second largest iron ore producer country after Australia, with approx. 70% of exports going to East Asia, and most iron ore consists of the highest quality found worldwide that does not require much processing. In addition, other production sites in Brazil are now in the public eye and currently under scrutiny when it comes down to their procedures, safety protocols and infrastructure and might not be able to increase production as desired. Hence, the imminent decrease of Brazil’s output will definitely reduce ton-mile revenue for Capes. The question now is if China is able to, and if they will respond with an increase of their domestic production from their high-cost mines, which will furthermore keep Cape revenues from rebounding to previous higher observed levels.
Besides the Capesize segment, the sudden drop and the swift reversal of sentiment was observed across all major trading routes and all ship sizes. This could be due to the turbulence deriving from the US-China trade war. While many reports/forecasts have been published and a lot of opinions have been heard, the only sure thing is that it adds uncertainty to the an already worrying global economy and a puzzled (amid coming regulations) shipping ecosystem. In the beginning, when the second worldwide largest economy showed signals of slowing down and seemed unable to maintain growth figures, analysts were pointing to the trade war. Recently though, many are wondering if a Chinese structural and fundamental problem will soon surface. In my point of view, if such problem does exist, the shipping world should focus on how the Chinese administration would tackle it. The country’s administration is currently signaling potential further stimulus measures and several are debating if such a program will have a positive impact on seaborne trade and to what degree.
The very slow fresh cargo supply of the past couple of months resulted in a slowdown of SnP activity, which is down 33% ytd. However, from the start of last week a more normal flow of cargo is observed and the BDI showed signs of recovering. At the same time, comparing past week’s SnP market to the start of this month we noted fresh prospective buyers coming on-board ships, while proven buyers took the opportunity to test sellers with levels depicting current market conditions and establishing new market levels.
Whilst some owners worry that we are entering a global bear market and are skeptical if this downturn was an indicator of a more structural issue, the BDI is now on a positive trend and others believe that we are heading towards more stable days having just experienced a short parenthesis in a market that is generally moving towards a healthy recovery and in that respect they maintain their bullish views and appetite for candidates offered at levels in line with current freight rates.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 12 April 19
OFFSHORE MENA CONGRESS 2019
Offshore MENA Congress 2019
Event Date : 11-12th Jun. 2019
Location : Cairo, Egypt
Offshore MENA Congress 2019 Offshor ...
Friday, 12 April 19
U.S : MORE THAN 7 GW OF COAL-FIRED GENERATION IS SCHEDULED TO RETIRE BY THE END OF 2020 - EIA
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production decreased by 19 million short tons (MMst) (2%) in 2018, totaling 756 MMst.
EIA also expects ...
Friday, 12 April 19
GLENCORE WINS $520 MILLION DEAL TO SELL COAL TO MEXICO - REUTERS
Global trader Glencore has won contracts worth around $520 million to supply 4.94 million tonnes of coal to Mexico, state-run power utility the Fed ...
Thursday, 11 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL IN THE FRONTLINE OF CHINA'S SUPPLY GLUT - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Australian coal will be hardest hit as China cuts foreign imports of its key energy source to tackle oversupply, and implements policies favouring ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
COALTRANS ASIA - TAKE PART IN THE LARGEST COAL EVENT IN THE WORLD!
Take part in the largest coal event in the world!
Coaltrans Asia is back this June bringing together the entire international coal s ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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