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Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentiment changes in the blink of an eye. Regulations, tariffs, sanctions, you name it, all play their part. For some, volatility provides opportunities and possibilities to speculate and invest. For others volatility only prolongs the uncertainty and adds to the fatigue. Either way this is the current reality and there are no signs that things will change and become more predictable.
It is widely accepted that shorter cycles are here to stay. Orderbooks and scraping do play a role but sentiment and trade agreements are in the driver's seat. In an industry that is 100% capital intensive to begin with, now more than ever the need for quick reflexes is imperative.
Shorter cycles that span anywhere from 6 to 18 months mean that the opportunity to make money for shipowners is heavily dependent on the price they paid to acquire or build the asset. With that being said the term “asset play” gains a different meaning. The ability to be able to sell or buy an asset when opportunity arises will be very important to the survival let alone the prosperity of a shipping company. Asset play will become more complex and more structured. An early sign of this is last year's import regulations that China implemented that very quickly created a sub-market segregating Tier I and Tier II ships within each size segment.
Don't get me wrong, the way a company operates or charters their assets will still always be the main source of income and will stay at the core of the business model separating the good from the very successful, but the ability to let go of an asset or the capacity to buy an asset due to an opportunity, will give a significant edge to anyone that can do it.
In a market environment that financing remains scarce, expensive and for many still not easily accessible all of the above is easier said than done. But you can’t or at least you should not ignore where things are heading.
More than ever before, this industry is being led by people that know shipping or at least are willing to have a long presence in shipping. The outlanders that entered - or invaded for some - the previous years have either switched focus or have taken the back seat after years of failing to predict the market, realizing that liquidity is not easily achieved when all things go south.
All in all, as long as newbuilding ordering is rational and mostly driven by need of new tonnage and reasonable speculation, over-supply will stay in check, adjust and eventually cease to exist and in my humble opinion shorter cycles will play a role to that. For a shipping company this will make the need for increased SnP activity vital. We are moving towards an industry that will be even faster paced going forward, with new possibilities to be explored and new boundaries, technological and operational to be pushed. With the BDI currently at very low levels it is only logical that we cannot see the forest for the trees, but the forest is there and it is full of opportunities.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 21 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
Halfway through the fourth and last quarter of the year, we spot a significant change in freight rates for tankers trading dirty, as well as on the ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
FREIGHT RATES IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS - YIANNIS VAMVAKAS
Current geopolitical developments between Iran and the US, which have led the latter to re-impose its sanctions, have significantly affected oil pr ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCES LEADS A$249M BID FOR AUSTRALIA-LISTED STANMORE COAL - THE STRAITS TIMES
Singapore-listed Golden Energy and Resources (GEAR) is leading deals worth up to A$249 million (S$250 million) to acquire Australia-listed Stanmore ...
Monday, 19 November 18
INDONESIA'S LEADING EIGHT COAL MINER'S COAL MINING CONTRACTS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPIRE BETWEEN YEAR 2019 - 2025
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) said, eight Coal Contract of Works (CCoW) will expected to expire between 2019 to 2026, Liputan ...
Monday, 19 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE BSI CONTINUED TO FALL LAST WEEK, ESPECIALLY THE ASIAN ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
After a cut throat couple of weeks, the market finally appeared to have found a floor and rates ticked up. Those analysts that predict ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
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