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Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With standard forecasts for 2040 suggesting the stagnation or decline of coal, and the slow expansion of nuclear, gas appears well-placed to come out ahead. But this picture varies significantly by geography, Al-Attiyah Foundation noted in its latest energy research report.
The Foundation’s research note, which explores how gas, coal and nuclear power compete for global electricity generation, observed technological advances could bring coal and/or nuclear forward.
The typical predictions for the global power sector see gas growing strongly, nuclear slowly and coal flat-lining or shrinking. Scenarios of strong climate action do not help nuclear much, are negative for coal and somewhat negative for gas. A strong nuclear revival is likely to be dependent on the deployment of new reactor designs; continuing major coal growth would require large-scale, low cost carbon capture and storage (CCS). Neither of these possibilities can be ruled out, but they do not appear very likely.
So, the implications for leading gas exporters such as Qatar include that gas has the opportunity to gain significant market share from ageing coal and nuclear plants if relatively inexpensive. Conversely, if gas is priced expensively, it will encourage countries such as China and India to develop and deploy nuclear and cleaner coal. The emergence of low-cost CCS still probably favours gas more than coal, though it would boost both over nuclear.
The research note said leading gas exporters should monitor technological progress on coal CCS and on advanced nuclear, and keep an eye on the regulatory landscape and public opinion concerning nuclear in key growth markets.
Overall, the negative outlook for coal and nuclear is quite favourable for gas. Major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share as old coal and nuclear plants in North America and Europe are closed down. At the same time, coal is set to stagnate in the main emerging Asian economies, and nuclear to grow, but not dramatically.
However, this line of development does rely on gas being perceived as a secure, relatively affordable and accessible fuel. If gas is price expensively, China, India and other major Asian states will rely more on coal, and are likely to deploy more nuclear power too. To avoid major surprises, leading gas exporters should monitor the technological, regulatory and public opinion landscape for advanced nuclear and coal CCS in the key markets- North America, Europe, China, Russia and India.
Source: The Peninsula
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Wednesday, 03 July 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The global shipping industry is facing numerous challenges at a time when geopolitical turmoil has escalated in view of the recent tension in the M ...
Monday, 01 July 19
COAL DEMAND RISES, BUT REMAINS BELOW PEAK LEVELS - FORBES
This article is the third in a series on BP’s recently-released Statistical Review of World Energy 2019. The Review provides a comprehensive ...
Saturday, 29 June 19
ULTRAMAX: FROM SOUTHEAST ASIA MORE COAL WAS ENTERING THE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market showed variability over the past week, as most routes were active yet sentiment differed from region to region. The Pacific ...
Wednesday, 26 June 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the first half of the year is almost over, it is worth looking back at the sale and purchase activity during these months, focusing on the segme ...
Tuesday, 25 June 19
THERMAL COAL FUTURES ON THE ZHENGSHOU EXCHANGE ROSE - DANIEL HYNES
Coal markets were buoyed by ongoing supply side issues.
According to Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist of ANZ, the the ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Planning Commission, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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