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Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
 China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for demand of several major trading commodities. The annual data of this Asian giant were revealed just a few days ago, sparking concerns for the economic state of the country.
According to Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied, China’s GDP expanded in the previous year by 6.6%, a rate that may sound impressive compared to other OECD countries, but it is the lowest pace the country has seen since 1990. In addition, the latest quarterly growth figure stands at 6.4%, the weakest rate since the global financial crisis. With China accounting for one-third of global growth, it is no surprise that the International Monetary Fund revised its global economic growth forecast for 2019 by -0.2% and pointed out that risks for further downward corrections are high. It is fair to point out that this slowdown has been expected by most including Beijing itself. The declining trend in China’s economic growth has been in the works since 2010, with the local government making steps to slowly transform from primarily a manufacturing based economy to a service based one. Of course, the impacts on global trade from this will be slow and gradual. An economic poll conducted by Reuters showed that the majority of economists expect China to slowdown further in 2019 down to 6.3%, while the IMF predicts a 6.2% growth rate.
The weekly report of Allied further noted that, apart from this disappointing growth data, production and trade data for 2018 have also been worrying. The Caixin/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) declined in December 2018 to 49.7, slipping back into contraction for a first time in 19 months. Industrial profits also fell in December, dropping by 1.9. Moreover, China’s exports declined in December by 4.4%, the most in almost two years, while imports were also decreased by 7.6%. Regarding iron ore, a key commodity for dry bulk shipping, Chinese imports declined by 1%, falling to 1.064 billion tons from 1.075 billion tons in 2017, in their first annual decline since 2010. At the same time, steel exports continued to a soften in 2018, hurt by the current trade war with the US. On the other hand, coal imports by the Asian behemoth increased to their highest number in the last four years, reaching 281.5 million tons. However, imports were curbed during the last couple of months following a government strategy to support domestic coal prices. On the soya bean front, the impact of the US trade tariffs was significant, shifting imports’ sources from the US to different producing nations. However, it is worth mentioning that total Chinese exports in 2018 remained on a positive course, with China’s trade surplus with the US growing despite the trade tariffs, according to Chinese government data. However, the tariffs that have been imposed by the US government remain an important headache. With negotiations between the two countries having started, a lot of focus has been placed on the March deadline, when most hope a final decision will be reached. The aftermath of the negotiations may lead to further reshaping in global trade. With 2018 being an alarming year for the Chinese economy, affecting the shipping markets as well, it is significant to see if this disappointing year was just a parenthesis.
The risks placed by a further slowdown in the Chinese economy on global trade as well as shipping markets is still high, but we should keep in mind that China’s growth maybe contracting but still remains robust. However, questions regarding the capability of the global economy to decrease its dependence to China are intensifying.
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Tuesday, 22 January 19
AUSTRALIA'S YANCOAL PRODUCED 50 MMT SALEABLE COAL IN 2018 UP 59 PER CENT ON THE YEAR PRIOR, THE QUARTERLY REPORT SHOWS
According to the report, the miner's quarterly (Q4' 18) saleable coal production of 12.4 Mmt. Includes 10.5 Mmt (85 per cent) from the Comp ...
Monday, 21 January 19
KOSPO INVITING BIDS FOR 320K MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Monday, 21 January 19
SUPRAMAX: INDONESIAN COAL RUNS, TONNAGE WAS GIVING APS DELIVERIES AND A 57,000DWT SHIP FIXED AT $7,000 FOR A TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to a week that saw rates on the West Australia/China run slip below $6.00, as charterers faced a plentiful supply ...
Monday, 21 January 19
HARD COAL WORLD TRADE IN 2018 RISES BY 3.7 PER CENT; GLOBAL HARD COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 1.7 PER CENT - VDKI
Global Hard Coal Production Increases By 1.7%.
According to provisional calculations by the German Coal Importer Association (VDKi), ...
Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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