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Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
 China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for demand of several major trading commodities. The annual data of this Asian giant were revealed just a few days ago, sparking concerns for the economic state of the country.
According to Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied, China’s GDP expanded in the previous year by 6.6%, a rate that may sound impressive compared to other OECD countries, but it is the lowest pace the country has seen since 1990. In addition, the latest quarterly growth figure stands at 6.4%, the weakest rate since the global financial crisis. With China accounting for one-third of global growth, it is no surprise that the International Monetary Fund revised its global economic growth forecast for 2019 by -0.2% and pointed out that risks for further downward corrections are high. It is fair to point out that this slowdown has been expected by most including Beijing itself. The declining trend in China’s economic growth has been in the works since 2010, with the local government making steps to slowly transform from primarily a manufacturing based economy to a service based one. Of course, the impacts on global trade from this will be slow and gradual. An economic poll conducted by Reuters showed that the majority of economists expect China to slowdown further in 2019 down to 6.3%, while the IMF predicts a 6.2% growth rate.
The weekly report of Allied further noted that, apart from this disappointing growth data, production and trade data for 2018 have also been worrying. The Caixin/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) declined in December 2018 to 49.7, slipping back into contraction for a first time in 19 months. Industrial profits also fell in December, dropping by 1.9. Moreover, China’s exports declined in December by 4.4%, the most in almost two years, while imports were also decreased by 7.6%. Regarding iron ore, a key commodity for dry bulk shipping, Chinese imports declined by 1%, falling to 1.064 billion tons from 1.075 billion tons in 2017, in their first annual decline since 2010. At the same time, steel exports continued to a soften in 2018, hurt by the current trade war with the US. On the other hand, coal imports by the Asian behemoth increased to their highest number in the last four years, reaching 281.5 million tons. However, imports were curbed during the last couple of months following a government strategy to support domestic coal prices. On the soya bean front, the impact of the US trade tariffs was significant, shifting imports’ sources from the US to different producing nations. However, it is worth mentioning that total Chinese exports in 2018 remained on a positive course, with China’s trade surplus with the US growing despite the trade tariffs, according to Chinese government data. However, the tariffs that have been imposed by the US government remain an important headache. With negotiations between the two countries having started, a lot of focus has been placed on the March deadline, when most hope a final decision will be reached. The aftermath of the negotiations may lead to further reshaping in global trade. With 2018 being an alarming year for the Chinese economy, affecting the shipping markets as well, it is significant to see if this disappointing year was just a parenthesis.
The risks placed by a further slowdown in the Chinese economy on global trade as well as shipping markets is still high, but we should keep in mind that China’s growth maybe contracting but still remains robust. However, questions regarding the capability of the global economy to decrease its dependence to China are intensifying.
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Monday, 08 April 19
CHEAP COAL SWELLS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA, FOILING GLOBAL GREEN PUSH - NIKKEI
Southeast Asian countries are turning to low-cost coal to satisfy their surging electricity demand as the West shies away from the fossil fuel unde ...
Monday, 08 April 19
SULPHUR 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO THE SWITCHOVER - LLOYD'S REGISTER
Sulphur 2020 (MARPOL Annex VI Reg. 14.1.3) is still dominating headlines and as we draw closer to the 1 January 2020 deadline it’s clear that ...
Monday, 08 April 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PRICE PLUMMETS TO LOW NOT SEEN SINCE AUGUST 2017
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
SHIP PASSAGE PLANS - NO ROOM FOR ERROR! - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The English High Court’s judgment in Alize 1954 v Allianz Elementar Versicherungs AG (The CMA CGM Libra) is an impo ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
IMO 2020: READY OR NOT? - WOOD MACKENZIE
New Year’s Day 2020 is firmly marked in the calendar as the refining and shipping industries prepare for change.
The International Marit ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
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