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Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
 China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for demand of several major trading commodities. The annual data of this Asian giant were revealed just a few days ago, sparking concerns for the economic state of the country.
According to Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied, China’s GDP expanded in the previous year by 6.6%, a rate that may sound impressive compared to other OECD countries, but it is the lowest pace the country has seen since 1990. In addition, the latest quarterly growth figure stands at 6.4%, the weakest rate since the global financial crisis. With China accounting for one-third of global growth, it is no surprise that the International Monetary Fund revised its global economic growth forecast for 2019 by -0.2% and pointed out that risks for further downward corrections are high. It is fair to point out that this slowdown has been expected by most including Beijing itself. The declining trend in China’s economic growth has been in the works since 2010, with the local government making steps to slowly transform from primarily a manufacturing based economy to a service based one. Of course, the impacts on global trade from this will be slow and gradual. An economic poll conducted by Reuters showed that the majority of economists expect China to slowdown further in 2019 down to 6.3%, while the IMF predicts a 6.2% growth rate.
The weekly report of Allied further noted that, apart from this disappointing growth data, production and trade data for 2018 have also been worrying. The Caixin/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) declined in December 2018 to 49.7, slipping back into contraction for a first time in 19 months. Industrial profits also fell in December, dropping by 1.9. Moreover, China’s exports declined in December by 4.4%, the most in almost two years, while imports were also decreased by 7.6%. Regarding iron ore, a key commodity for dry bulk shipping, Chinese imports declined by 1%, falling to 1.064 billion tons from 1.075 billion tons in 2017, in their first annual decline since 2010. At the same time, steel exports continued to a soften in 2018, hurt by the current trade war with the US. On the other hand, coal imports by the Asian behemoth increased to their highest number in the last four years, reaching 281.5 million tons. However, imports were curbed during the last couple of months following a government strategy to support domestic coal prices. On the soya bean front, the impact of the US trade tariffs was significant, shifting imports’ sources from the US to different producing nations. However, it is worth mentioning that total Chinese exports in 2018 remained on a positive course, with China’s trade surplus with the US growing despite the trade tariffs, according to Chinese government data. However, the tariffs that have been imposed by the US government remain an important headache. With negotiations between the two countries having started, a lot of focus has been placed on the March deadline, when most hope a final decision will be reached. The aftermath of the negotiations may lead to further reshaping in global trade. With 2018 being an alarming year for the Chinese economy, affecting the shipping markets as well, it is significant to see if this disappointing year was just a parenthesis.
The risks placed by a further slowdown in the Chinese economy on global trade as well as shipping markets is still high, but we should keep in mind that China’s growth maybe contracting but still remains robust. However, questions regarding the capability of the global economy to decrease its dependence to China are intensifying.
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Thursday, 16 May 19
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV TRADING AROUND US$ 9,000 BSS S.CHINA DELIVERY - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
This volatile segment is trying to find a clear direction from the present US$ 12,000/day earnings for standard units says Fearnleys W ...
Wednesday, 15 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Modern warfare - Trade wars & sanctions
As of May 1st, the U.S. has ended waivers to the sanctions that had allowed the top buyers of Irani ...
Monday, 13 May 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CONTINUES TO FALL
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Monday, 13 May 19
SUPRAMAX: SOUTHEAST ASIA THE MARKET SAW BETTER DEMAND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The market continued its rollercoaster ride last week opening with negative sentiment, but turning around in dramatic fashion by the week& ...
Thursday, 09 May 19
DEEP OFFSHORE SOUTHEAST ASIA CONGRESS 2019
Deep Offshore Southeast Asia Congress 2019
Event Date:2-3th July. 2019t
Location: Jakarta, Indonesia
Sarawak Shell Berhad (S ...
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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