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Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal exports. Appalachian region coal production, based largely on the strength of growth in coal exports, increased for the second year in a row, but Interior and Western region production declined by 5% and 3% in 2018, respectively. In both 2019 and in 2020, EIA expects total U.S. coal production to decline by 3% and 7%, respectively, because of anticipated declines in both exports and domestic consumption. The 2020 forecast production of 680 MMst would be the first time annual production totaled less than 700 MMst since 1978.
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that coal consumption in the electric power sector for 2018 declined by 24 MMst (4%), despite a 4% increase in overall electricity generation. EIA expects power sector coal consumption to decline by 52 MMst (8%) in 2019 and by 44 MMst (7%) in 2020. The decrease in power sector consumption reflects increasing shares of electricity generation from both natural gas and renewable energy sources.
Coal Trade
The United States, with excess coal production and export terminal capacity, is a swing supplier of coal to the global market. When market conditions are favorable (high global coal prices, low shipping costs, disruptions in supply from other exporters, and/or increased demand from major consumers), U.S. coal exports often expand. However, exports often contract with a reversal of these market factors. EIA estimates that U.S. coal exports were 116 MMst in 2018, 20% higher than the amount exported in 2017, marking the fourth time on record that annual exports exceeded 110 MMst. EIA expects that some market conditions that favor U.S. coal exports will diminish and forecasts that coal exports will decline to 102 MMst in 2019 and to 94 MMst in 2020.
Despite EIA’s overall forecast decline in U.S. coal exports, exports to Asia, particularly to India, Japan, and South Korea, are expected to remain strong. Exports to these three countries accounted for 33% (29 MMst) of the coal exported in 2018 through September coal exported in 2018 through September. Coal exports to other countries/regions have also increased recently. U.S. coal exports to North Africa, particularly Egypt and Morocco, have risen, and they accounted for 7% of total exports in 2018 through September. Comparatively, coal exports to Canada and Mexico accounted for 9% of total exports during the same period.
Coal Prices.
EIA estimates the delivered coal price to U.S. electricity generators averaged $2.07 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2018, which was 1 cent/MMBtu higher than the 2017 price. EIA forecasts that coal prices will be close to the same in 2019 and in 2020.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
CHINA RESTRICTS SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS - WOOD MACKENZIE
In response to news on China's Dalian port restricting seaborne coal imports, Wood Mackenzie's experts provide the following commentary.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevai ...
Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has be ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
EFFECTIVE NOTICES OF ARBITRATION - AVOIDING WASTED COSTS AND A POTENTIALLY TIME-BARRED CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a recent case, The Amity [2017], charterers successfully set aside an arbitration award on the basis that ow ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in com ...
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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