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Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal exports. Appalachian region coal production, based largely on the strength of growth in coal exports, increased for the second year in a row, but Interior and Western region production declined by 5% and 3% in 2018, respectively. In both 2019 and in 2020, EIA expects total U.S. coal production to decline by 3% and 7%, respectively, because of anticipated declines in both exports and domestic consumption. The 2020 forecast production of 680 MMst would be the first time annual production totaled less than 700 MMst since 1978.
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that coal consumption in the electric power sector for 2018 declined by 24 MMst (4%), despite a 4% increase in overall electricity generation. EIA expects power sector coal consumption to decline by 52 MMst (8%) in 2019 and by 44 MMst (7%) in 2020. The decrease in power sector consumption reflects increasing shares of electricity generation from both natural gas and renewable energy sources.
Coal Trade
The United States, with excess coal production and export terminal capacity, is a swing supplier of coal to the global market. When market conditions are favorable (high global coal prices, low shipping costs, disruptions in supply from other exporters, and/or increased demand from major consumers), U.S. coal exports often expand. However, exports often contract with a reversal of these market factors. EIA estimates that U.S. coal exports were 116 MMst in 2018, 20% higher than the amount exported in 2017, marking the fourth time on record that annual exports exceeded 110 MMst. EIA expects that some market conditions that favor U.S. coal exports will diminish and forecasts that coal exports will decline to 102 MMst in 2019 and to 94 MMst in 2020.
Despite EIA’s overall forecast decline in U.S. coal exports, exports to Asia, particularly to India, Japan, and South Korea, are expected to remain strong. Exports to these three countries accounted for 33% (29 MMst) of the coal exported in 2018 through September coal exported in 2018 through September. Coal exports to other countries/regions have also increased recently. U.S. coal exports to North Africa, particularly Egypt and Morocco, have risen, and they accounted for 7% of total exports in 2018 through September. Comparatively, coal exports to Canada and Mexico accounted for 9% of total exports during the same period.
Coal Prices.
EIA estimates the delivered coal price to U.S. electricity generators averaged $2.07 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2018, which was 1 cent/MMBtu higher than the 2017 price. EIA forecasts that coal prices will be close to the same in 2019 and in 2020.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
CHINA RESTRICTS SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS - WOOD MACKENZIE
In response to news on China's Dalian port restricting seaborne coal imports, Wood Mackenzie's experts provide the following commentary.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevai ...
Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has be ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
EFFECTIVE NOTICES OF ARBITRATION - AVOIDING WASTED COSTS AND A POTENTIALLY TIME-BARRED CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a recent case, The Amity [2017], charterers successfully set aside an arbitration award on the basis that ow ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in com ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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