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Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal exports. Appalachian region coal production, based largely on the strength of growth in coal exports, increased for the second year in a row, but Interior and Western region production declined by 5% and 3% in 2018, respectively. In both 2019 and in 2020, EIA expects total U.S. coal production to decline by 3% and 7%, respectively, because of anticipated declines in both exports and domestic consumption. The 2020 forecast production of 680 MMst would be the first time annual production totaled less than 700 MMst since 1978.
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that coal consumption in the electric power sector for 2018 declined by 24 MMst (4%), despite a 4% increase in overall electricity generation. EIA expects power sector coal consumption to decline by 52 MMst (8%) in 2019 and by 44 MMst (7%) in 2020. The decrease in power sector consumption reflects increasing shares of electricity generation from both natural gas and renewable energy sources.
Coal Trade
The United States, with excess coal production and export terminal capacity, is a swing supplier of coal to the global market. When market conditions are favorable (high global coal prices, low shipping costs, disruptions in supply from other exporters, and/or increased demand from major consumers), U.S. coal exports often expand. However, exports often contract with a reversal of these market factors. EIA estimates that U.S. coal exports were 116 MMst in 2018, 20% higher than the amount exported in 2017, marking the fourth time on record that annual exports exceeded 110 MMst. EIA expects that some market conditions that favor U.S. coal exports will diminish and forecasts that coal exports will decline to 102 MMst in 2019 and to 94 MMst in 2020.
Despite EIA’s overall forecast decline in U.S. coal exports, exports to Asia, particularly to India, Japan, and South Korea, are expected to remain strong. Exports to these three countries accounted for 33% (29 MMst) of the coal exported in 2018 through September coal exported in 2018 through September. Coal exports to other countries/regions have also increased recently. U.S. coal exports to North Africa, particularly Egypt and Morocco, have risen, and they accounted for 7% of total exports in 2018 through September. Comparatively, coal exports to Canada and Mexico accounted for 9% of total exports during the same period.
Coal Prices.
EIA estimates the delivered coal price to U.S. electricity generators averaged $2.07 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2018, which was 1 cent/MMBtu higher than the 2017 price. EIA forecasts that coal prices will be close to the same in 2019 and in 2020.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
CHINA RESTRICTS SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS - WOOD MACKENZIE
In response to news on China's Dalian port restricting seaborne coal imports, Wood Mackenzie's experts provide the following commentary.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevai ...
Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has be ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
EFFECTIVE NOTICES OF ARBITRATION - AVOIDING WASTED COSTS AND A POTENTIALLY TIME-BARRED CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a recent case, The Amity [2017], charterers successfully set aside an arbitration award on the basis that ow ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in com ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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