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Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference between the current workload and the one expected a few months down the line. Indeed, shipyards around the world are going through a relatively slack beginning of the year, which includes also includes backlog from the end of 2018, while at the same time they are expecting the start of one of the busiest periods for ship repair sector within the next couple of months. The workload, which is anticipated to be well above the working capacity of yards, is estimated to last till mid-2020.
After almost 4 years of recession in ship repair sector, we are looking at an obvious upturn which is going to pencil a full year and a half of clear benefit to the shipyards. Additionally, shipyards are looking into allocating their work force into the most efficient way, securing the slots for repeated customers and trying to select projects which will give them maximum returns.
Knowing that the boosting factor for the booming repair market derives from the scrubber retrofit wave, the main challenges for the yards are the specialized piping workforce required and of course the long-lasting occupancy of shipyard’s berthing facilities. With regards to the piping workforce, respective certified pipe workers with relatively adequate workmanship are required in order to ensure the success of the respective project. If this requirement is not met, Owners will most likely face delays during installation and post refit malfunctions.
While accessing the overall trend for scrubber retrofits, demand for further retrofits has slowed down, with the number of owners investing in retrofits pretty much defined. Owners that have already purchased scrubber units are those giving almost the full picture of the current scrubber market, which is not likely to expand a lot. Nevertheless, those Owners already involved are still considering
retrofitting more of their ships based on speculation or charterer demands.
Once more, projections in regards to the fuel price spread are also highly diversified. Following the conservative side, some predict the fuel spread price will become more and narrower. The one thing that hasn’t changed is the commitment made by Oil Majors that they will be ready by 2020, but without disclosing the exact technicalities on how they will achieve a stable fuel. This is adding into the uncertainty in regards to the range of the fuel price spread.
After the decision of the Singaporean and Chinese port authorities to not accept open loop scrubbers, another option Owners are taking into consideration is the hybrid or closed loop scrubbers. However, with hybrid scrubber retrofits being a much more expensive solution when it comes both to OPEX and CAPEX compared to open loop, Owners are trying to avoid this more complicated and expensive investment. A good choice for Owners remains the hybrid-ready scrubbers, which can be converted to hybrid in case of need but initially are planned to be used as open loop, having this way all the advantages of the open loop.
By Vassilis Vassiliou
Ship-repair Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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