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Tuesday, 18 December 18
DRY BULK: IN ABSOLUTE TERMS, ALL MAIN SIZE SEGMENTS SAW THEIR ACTUAL VOLATILITY FIGURES DECREASE - ALLIED
 Since the beginning of 2016, when the dry bulk market reached its absolute bottom, freight rates have been ever since on an upward trajectory. Taking the BDI as a benchmark, we saw the index from a yearly average of 676 points in 2016, increasing to 1,149 points in 2017, and now reaching for the year so far 1,351 points.
According to Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping, taking the size segments separately, Panamax and Supramax sectors were leading the herd this year, with their TCA yearly average figures boosted by -more or less-US$ 2,000/day (a relative increase of around 21%) and climbing well above the US$ 11,000/day mark. Furthermore, in the Handysize segment, we witnessed an increase of 13.5% on y-o-y basis, while in the Capesize segment the BCI-5TC improved by 8.6%.
At this point, it is important to mention that the rather mediocre increase in the Capesize market is impart influenced and a mere reflection of the hefty downturn and amassed disarray noted at the beginning of November (while not long before this, most seemed confident that they would see returns even in excess of those of the final quarter of 2017). Notwithstanding this, another way to better understand the “actual” path that dry bulk sector has been following, we need to evaluate the risks involved relative to the corresponding earnings. An important risk metric is by measuring the prevailing volatility in the market. Using the standard deviation as statistical tool to capture current trends, we can conclude that the overall dry bulk market has been more stable this year. In absolute terms, all main size segments saw their actual volatility figures decrease, with Handy size witnessing the biggest decrease (52.7%), followed by Panamax and Supramax with 41.5% and 37.9% respectively, and finally Capesize with 15.2%. While considering that actual returns were considerably higher, the real impact of these deviations is even less than the percentages mentioned above.
Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping further noted that, given the recovery and the overall positive track noted in the market, let’s try to figure out what’s in store for the near term. As at the start of this month, the total dry bulk fleet (above 20,000dwt) stood at 10,198 vessels, with an order book of 907 vessels (an order book to fleet ratio of 8.9%). Even with a completely absent recycling market and all projected deliveries entering active service without delay and as scheduled, we are a facing a maximum fleet growth of 5.3% for 2019. Moreover, given that most forecasts predict an increase in the region of 1.5-2.0% for seaborne trade of the main dry bulk commodities (iron ore, coal, grains), the fundamentals in the market indicate a n overall balanced outlook for the supply-demand dynamic, in the short to medium-term at least, with potential for an even better outlook to emerge.
All-in-all, even with the core market fundamentals being in favor of further improvement for the next couple of years, the great uncertainties that characterize shipping industry as a whole leave little room for any excesses in sentiment. Optimism, with a pinch of conservatism, are the necessary characteristics to be able to better react and adapt to periodical trends and shifts. Coal’s overall gloomy outlook, China’s decision to retract its tariffs and commit to buy a large volume of US soybeans (even if it only represents roughly 4% of a typical year’s purchases) easing back some of the “tension” if only for the moment, along with a plethora of new regulations coming into force in the not so distant future, are just a handful of market aspects that could have a major impact, rapidly altering the state of the market. With a relatively positive year now coming to an end, let’s embrace a new one and hope for even better days to come.
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Wednesday, 22 August 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 480K TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT & SHIN BORYEONG POWER PLANTS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 480,000 mt of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origi ...
Wednesday, 22 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
During the most quite week of the summer period we witnessed a trade war between United States and Turkey. A battle, which started with the arrest ...
Monday, 20 August 18
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE BSI INDEX WITH GAINS MADE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of largely unfulfilled expectations with holidays again curbing activity. Rates remained essentially healthy, but despite bad wea ...
Friday, 17 August 18
DO ARBITRATION AGREEMENTS IN BILLS OF LADING BIND THEIR HOLDERS? - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Bills of lading are a crucial part of the security package traditionally sought by trade finance providers.
...
Friday, 17 August 18
MALAYSIA'S MANJUNG 4 - WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION
According to the IEA’s Energy Access Outlook 2017 report, nearly all of those who gained access to electricity worldwide in the last 16 years ...
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Showing 1641 to 1645 news of total 6871 |
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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