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Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL OUTLOOK BULLISH DESPITE WEAK CHINESE IMPORT DATA - HEREN, ICIS
 Coal prices may appreciate over the remainder of 2018 even despite recent data showing falling imports from the world’s largest producer and consumer, China.
The European-benchmark Rotterdam coal front year has recovered from a low of around $82.00/tonne in mid-November, reaching above $89.00/tonne on Thursday. Prices previously fell steeply, driven down by oil, a mild start to the winter, and Chinese import restrictions.
Authorities in Beijing wish to support domestic coal miners, but abandoned similar constraints last year when freezing temperatures led to a heating crisis in the north of the country.
As such, the temperature outlook in China is the key driver facing the coal market heading into the peak winter season. Online forecasters on Thursday indicated that mild weather is likely in week 51, but there is some cold-snap potential after.
Closer to home, low wind is bringing coal into the German power mix. ICIS analysts on Thursday forecast wind generation averaging just 12.5GW over the next nine days, compared to 19.8GW across December 2017.
With bullish carbon also supporting power prices, German clean dark spreads have widened to the point where most coal plants are firmly in the money next year. This is incentivising forward power hedging as generators lock in profit margins, a supportive factor for coal prices in Europe.
Momentum indicators signal that coal is in a short-term uptrend under technical analysis models. While the Rotterdam front year is overbought after six straight session-on-session gains, its 200-session moving average should support prices around $89.00/tonne. This may prevent a significant downward correction in coming sessions, enabling further gains after a consolidation period.
ICIS analysts have a bullish outlook for carbon, due to tightening auction volumes in December and next year. This would provide further upward pressure on clean dark spreads and by extension coal in Europe.
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Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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