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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Thursday, 02 August 18
INDO / CHINA COAL RV'S IS PAYING AROUND USD 11,000 TO SUPRAS BSS DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The counter seasonally strong market during the summer months bodes well for the remainder of the year.
According ...
Wednesday, 01 August 18
JOKOWI CANCELS PLAN TO REVOKE COAL DMO - JP
President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo on Tuesday has canceled the government’s plan to revoke the domestic market obligation (DMO) for coa ...
Wednesday, 01 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
The dry bulk market activity over the past four weeks has remained stable when compared to the previous months. There are concerns with regards to ...
Tuesday, 31 July 18
INDONESIA UNLIKELY TO CHANGE COAL SUPPLY, PRICING RULES UNTIL 2019 - REUTERS
Indonesia is unlikely to change its rules on domestic coal supply and pricing until 2019, Coordinating Maritime Minister Luhut Pandjaitan said on M ...
Tuesday, 31 July 18
ENERGY MINISTRY REMAINS FIRM ON DMO POLICY FOR COAL - JP
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry has stressed that it will not cancel its policy on the domestic market obligation (DMO) for coal, as the ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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