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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Friday, 02 November 18
CHINA: COAL CONSUMPTION POSTS STRONG GROWTH ON BACK OF POWER GENERATION DEMAND - CHINA DAILY
China’s energy consumption experienced continuous rebound during the first three quarters in 2018, National Energy Administration announced o ...
Thursday, 01 November 18
IMO 2020 - EXPLORING THE OPTION OF SOX SCRUBBERS - SIDDHARTH MAHAJAN, GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
There are four possible methods of compliance:
1.use VLSFO (very low Sulphur oil) or blends;
2,use dis ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
INDIA: COAL IMPORTS SURGE ON DOMESTIC SHORT SUPPLY - HINDU
Shortage of thermal coal supply in India has pushed imports up to 85 million tonnes (mt) in the first half of the current fiscal compared to 75 mt ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - APOSTOLOS ROMPOPOULOS
Since the IMO’s 2020 global cap on sulphur in marine fuels is coming into force, ship-owners have to decide whether they will operate using e ...
Monday, 29 October 18
IMPLEMENTATION OF SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT - CARRIAGE BAN ADOPTED - IMO
An amendment to support consistent implementation of the forthcoming 0.50% limit on sulphur in ships fuel oil was adopted by the International Mari ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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