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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Friday, 12 April 19
OFFSHORE MENA CONGRESS 2019
Offshore MENA Congress 2019
Event Date : 11-12th Jun. 2019
Location : Cairo, Egypt
Offshore MENA Congress 2019 Offshor ...
Friday, 12 April 19
U.S : MORE THAN 7 GW OF COAL-FIRED GENERATION IS SCHEDULED TO RETIRE BY THE END OF 2020 - EIA
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production decreased by 19 million short tons (MMst) (2%) in 2018, totaling 756 MMst.
EIA also expects ...
Friday, 12 April 19
GLENCORE WINS $520 MILLION DEAL TO SELL COAL TO MEXICO - REUTERS
Global trader Glencore has won contracts worth around $520 million to supply 4.94 million tonnes of coal to Mexico, state-run power utility the Fed ...
Thursday, 11 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL IN THE FRONTLINE OF CHINA'S SUPPLY GLUT - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Australian coal will be hardest hit as China cuts foreign imports of its key energy source to tackle oversupply, and implements policies favouring ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
COALTRANS ASIA - TAKE PART IN THE LARGEST COAL EVENT IN THE WORLD!
Take part in the largest coal event in the world!
Coaltrans Asia is back this June bringing together the entire international coal s ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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