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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Wednesday, 12 June 19
IMO 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO 1 JANUARY 2020 -HOW WILL THE CHANGES AFFECT REFINING AND SHIPPING? - WOOD MACKENZIE
We know that the IMO’s regulations represent the biggest step change the shipping industry has ever seen and the implications will be felt th ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
This year’s tanker S&P activity keeps edging higher compared to the same period in 2018. Year to date we have seen some 143 ships, rangin ...
Tuesday, 11 June 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SET AT $81.48 PER TON IN JUNE, DOWN 15.66 PERCENT YEAR-ON-YEAR
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 10 June 19
CONSECUTIVE OWNERS OF CARGO: WHO HOLDS TITLE AND THE RIGHT TO SUE? - COLIN BIGGERS & PAISLEY
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In Tritton Resources Pty Ltd v Ever Rock Navigation S.A. [2019] FCA 276, the Federal Court considered the application of ...
Monday, 10 June 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1,305,000 MT OF MIN 5600 KCAL/KG NCV COAL FOR SEPT 2019 TO DEC 2021
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 435,000 MT (per year) of max 5,600 kcal/kg N ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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