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Tuesday, 27 November 18
PANAMAX AND SUPRAMAX INDICES WITNESSED A DECLINE OF JUST BELOW 14% IN THEIR MEAN ON A MONTH-ON-MONTH COMPARISON - ALLIED SHIPPING
 A month of sharp corrections and great asymmetries for the dry bulk sector, with the overall overview of the market shipping rapidly from a state of extreme bullishness to bearish in no time at all. Not long-ago, statements like robust sentiment, modest order-book, sustainable fleet development, robust global economic growth and seaborne trade were some of the favorites topics discussed by most optimists in the market, said Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping in his latest report.
But now, given that the scene has changed completely, and the upward momentum has faded away, what can we expect from the blurry picture presented in front of us?
According to Thomas Chasapis, at the beginning of September, a mere breath before the start of the final quarter of 2018, the exuberance was become apparent in the paper market, given that contracts reached levels of even above US$ 26,000/day for the average of the BCI-5TC for 4th quarter period. At that time, and given that the previous year, for the same time frame, the actual market managed an average figure in the region of US$ 22,700/day and the market was already on an upward path throughout 2018, the level being discussed seemed rather fair to most.
He further noted that, things were already turning sour however in October, with earnings averaging out at US$ 18,600/day and it quickly becoming obvious that the Capesize segment wasn’t going to carry out its promise as originally thought. But things didn’t stop there, and from the start of this month the overall segment was on a sharp downward spiral, reaching even at levels that brought back memories of the collapse in the dry bulk sector of 2016. So, to the very least we can say that the market is in a “weird” state. The FFA market is now in a state of turmoil, showing steep corrections in respect to forward returns, even for very forward contracts. On a month-on-month basis, volatility for Capes has skyrocketed by almost 184% (using the BCI benchmark index), breaking a long period of convergence towards a more stable state.
Yet what must be stated is that it would be prudent not to rush back into an overly bearish tone, on the back of just recent trends in the dry bulk freight market. It is important to mention that other segments haven’t shows this kind of softening in their average figures. Both the Panamax and Supramax indices witnessed a decline of just below 14% in their mean on a month-on-month comparison. So, given the influential attribute of the Capesize to the overall sector, the impressive resistance seen in the smaller sub-segments can be translated in two different ways, either that there are strong fundamentals able to bear periodical negative shifts (i.e. minor bulk commodities are holding better), or we are speaking of an isolated and over exaggerated incident and the market will recover back to normality fairly quickly. For the time being the market is once again covered in shrouds of uncertainty, with most interested parties having already altered towards a more conservative attitude.
All-in-all, given that we are in a strong seasonal point in the year, we would expect that a swift recovery could take place, with the overall market, although, most probably finishing the year at mediocre levels given the extent of the downturn noticed these past weeks, Research Analyst of Allied shipping concluded.
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Wednesday, 21 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
Halfway through the fourth and last quarter of the year, we spot a significant change in freight rates for tankers trading dirty, as well as on the ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
FREIGHT RATES IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS - YIANNIS VAMVAKAS
Current geopolitical developments between Iran and the US, which have led the latter to re-impose its sanctions, have significantly affected oil pr ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCES LEADS A$249M BID FOR AUSTRALIA-LISTED STANMORE COAL - THE STRAITS TIMES
Singapore-listed Golden Energy and Resources (GEAR) is leading deals worth up to A$249 million (S$250 million) to acquire Australia-listed Stanmore ...
Monday, 19 November 18
INDONESIA'S LEADING EIGHT COAL MINER'S COAL MINING CONTRACTS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPIRE BETWEEN YEAR 2019 - 2025
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) said, eight Coal Contract of Works (CCoW) will expected to expire between 2019 to 2026, Liputan ...
Monday, 19 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE BSI CONTINUED TO FALL LAST WEEK, ESPECIALLY THE ASIAN ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
After a cut throat couple of weeks, the market finally appeared to have found a floor and rates ticked up. Those analysts that predict ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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