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Tuesday, 13 November 18
INDIA: POWER DEMAND UP; COAL STOCKS AT MINES AT A 5-YEAR LOW - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
 Stocks at Coal India mines plunged to a five-year low of 21 million tonne (mt) in October, as a sudden surge in demand for the fuel from the power sector has fast-tracked the dispatches over the last few weeks. If the low coal stocks at pitheads continues, the supplies could be disrupted, leading to power plant outages (low plant availability, in technical terms).
The looming difficulty has accelerated coal imports in recent months (see chart) but a wide price differential between the domestic and imported coal is still putting a lid on imports.
For comparable thermal grades, the imported coal is at least a third costlier than the locally available fuel, and in some cases, the landed cost of imported varieties are 1.5 times that of local coal.
Since power demand in the first half of this financial year was nearly 8% higher than in the year-ago period, and in October alone, the growth was as high as 11% (growth in recent years used to be sub-5%), any inability of the domestic sector to satiate the coal demand could in the coming months inflate imports and put an added burden on the country’s merchandise-trade and overall current account deficits.
Though the annual (FY19) production target of 610 mt for Coal India set by the government seems a tall order (during April-October, the miner produced 306 mt coal; the October production of 50 mt reflected an acceleration), its production is growing at a respectable rate of 10% annually. Including other producers like SCCIL, various state government entities and captive production, the country’s total output in the first seven months of the current financial year was 377 mt, again a 10% year-on-year growth.
India’s overall coal imports had grown at the fastest annual rate of 29% in FY15, raising concerns about coal becoming another major macro-economic concerns like oil whose large-scale imports are heavy burden on the current account. Coal imports had since slowed — the growth was only 6.7% in FY18 when the imports stood at 141 mt, lower than 145 mt in FY15. (Of course, in terms of value, the imports were Rs 1,38,477 crore in FY18 compared with Rs 1,04,507 crore in FY15).
The current situation of low stocks at pitheads coincides with the low-coal scenario at the power plants, with cumulative stocks of the fuel at the generating stations standing critically at 10.3 mt as on November 5. This is sufficient to run the plants for only six days on an average. Coal India had dispatched 231 mt to the power sector in H1FY19, up about 10% year-on-year.
CIL officials attribute the fall in pithead stocks to higher availability of railway rakes to ferry the fuel, which has boosted deliveries. In the first six months of FY19, CIL loaded 202 rakes at an average for the power sector, registering a growth of 9.6%. The operationalisation of the Tori-Balumath and the Jharsugda-Sardega railway lines — critical for coal transportation — have also contributed to the lowering stocks, the CIL officials say.
Historically, coal stocks at the CIL mines deplete in the April-September period due to monsoons flooding a number of mines and excessive heat-halting excavation activities in some of the mines in the Mahanadi Coalfield areas in Odisha. However, the current fall in stocks is much steeper (at the end of March 2018, the stocks were 55 mt and a year ago, these stood at 76 mt). Clearly, fuel offtake has been more than production levels in the recent months. Experts say the trend of power demand coming down in the winter months might be bucked this fiscal with a number of states like Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh heading for elections in November-December.
CIL officials said that it would ramp up production to 18-20 lakh tonnes a day from the 16 lakh tonnes/day registered in October, as it aspires to achieve its own FY19 production target of 652 mt.
As FE recently reported, more than 10,500 megawatts (mw) of power generating units were remaining shut across the country citing “coal shortage” in mid-October. Out of this, 2,700 mw and 4,210 mw capacities went under outage in September and October, respectively.
Research agency CARE Ratings has said that improved capacity utilisation in power, cement and steel industries, coupled with inadequate rail-connectivity and rake availability to ferry the fuel might raise coal imports by as much as 17% annually in FY19. The development comes at a time when global steam coal prices have been on a steady rise amid the falling value of the rupee. The average global coal price was about $116.8 per tonne in August. Earlier this month, commodity tracker mjunction said that coal imports in the first six months of FY19 increased by nearly 14% to 119.42 mt.
Source: Financial Express
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Wednesday, 24 October 18
CHINESE POWER PLANT STOCKPILES AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2015 - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
Chinese power plant coal stockpiles have climbed to approximately 83.3 million tons as of the middle of this month, said Jeffrey Landsberg in his e ...
Tuesday, 23 October 18
WILL THE U.S. COAL DECLINE CONTINUE? - FORBES
What’s Trump’s new coal proposal?
Adding to its controversial plan to leverage federal authority to keep retiring baselo ...
Monday, 22 October 18
CONTINUED HIGH LNG PRICES; TRADE WAR IMPACT LIMITED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects sustained high spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) and contract prices over the next two quarters on limited investment in LNG e ...
Monday, 22 October 18
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
The oil market in the winter season is generally characterized by demand for diesel, particularly in the northern hemisphere, leaving product marke ...
Saturday, 20 October 18
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW A LARGE VOLUME OF FIXING, WITH INDONESIA AGAIN THE DRIVING FORCE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to last week after a shaky start, with a Coaltrans taking participants out of the market early on and with rates slippi ...
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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