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Monday, 05 November 18
TIGHTER FUEL RULES COULD RAISE SHIPOWNERS' COSTS AND CAPEX - FITCH RATINGS
 More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase global shipping companies’ operating costs and capex needs, Fitch Ratings says. This may negatively affect their credit quality unless they manage to pass these costs to customers. Many shipping companies have started implementing fuel surcharges to recover costs associated with the new sulphur cap regulation, but their ability to sustain these will depend on market fundamentals, which remain challenging.
Competitive dynamics may change in the longer term with companies that are less financially able to absorb additional costs, especially given higher oil prices, withdrawing from the market. Reduced competitive pressures could then support a better supply-demand balance and allow the remaining shipping companies to raise freight rates in a bid to recoup some of the extra costs. The change in shipping fuel consumption could also affect refineries.
International Maritime Organization rules requiring ships to use fuel with sulphur content no higher than 0.5% (compared with 3.5% currently) come into effect on 1 January 2020. This means that shipping companies need to switch to higher-quality and more expensive marine fuel, use special equipment (“scrubbers”) to reduce sulphur emissions or switch to alternative fuels, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG). The new regulation will apply globally. Sulphur Emission Control Areas were established in a limited number of sea areas in 2005 and the sulphur content limit for fuel in those areas was tightened to 0.1% in 2015.
The global shipping industry fuel cost bill could increase by up to USD60 billion a year as a result of the new rules from 2020 for a total merchant fleet of 60,000 vessels, according to Wood Mackenzie. According to Maersk Line, its additional fuel costs would be over USD2 billion with a cost for the container shipping industry as a whole of up to USD15 billion, based on the difference in price of fuel with 3.5% and 0.5% sulphur content.
Scrubbers could be a viable alternative for some companies, but require several million dollars in upfront investments for each ship. Furthermore, scrubbers’ manufacturing and installing capacity is limited to fitting only about 2,000 scrubbers by 2020, according to Norwegian bank SEB. The LNG option will also require investments to retrofit ship engines and capacity to carry high-volume LNG tanks. In addition, LNG refuelling infrastructure may not be readily available globally.
The impact of the new regulation is unlikely to be uniform across segments. Ship owners that lease out ships with fuel costs borne by the charterer will be significantly less affected than operators that cover the fuel bill themselves if fuel surcharges related to the sulphur cap are not sustained.
If a significant proportion of shipping companies opt for higher-quality, low-sulphur fuel to comply with the regulations, the balance in the oil products market, and therefore refineries, may be affected. The 4 million barrel a day marine fuel market has been absorbing residue from the refining process, so there may be a need for refineries to adjust processes if demand for heavy fuel drops.
Demand for higher-quality fuel could lead to higher prices and widen pricing differentials between low- and high-sulphur products. Refineries with a higher share of middle distillates in their output, which are required to produce low-sulphur marine fuel, will benefit from the change. Low-complexity refineries will be hit and may need to invest in upgrades to shift their output towards middle distillates.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Monday, 29 October 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN AREA SAW FALLING RATES, WITH A 61,000DWT FIXING DELIVERY KOHSICHANG TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY INDIA, AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A market of two halves for most of the week with rates in the Atlantic firming and easing in the East for most of the week, but then, ...
Friday, 26 October 18
SHIP OPERATING COSTS EXPECTED TO RISE IN 2018 AND 2019 - MOORE STEPHENS
Total vessel operating costs in the shipping industry are expected to rise by 2.7% in 2018 and by 3.1% in 2019, according to our latest survey.
...
Friday, 26 October 18
SEVERAL CONTRACTIONS IN GLOBAL STEEL PRODUCTION - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
World Steel Association data released today shows that global crude steel production totaled approximately 151.7 million tons in September. T ...
Thursday, 25 October 18
WHAT DOES THE "IMO 2020" REGULATION REALLY SAY? A QUICK GUIDE - BIMCO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The shipping industry has all eyes firmly fixed on the topic, but what exactly do the “IMO 2020” global sulph ...
Wednesday, 24 October 18
MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
Looking at 2018 SnP activity, it is evident that Greek, Chinese and North European (German and Norwegian) owners are the top buying nationalities, ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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