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Wednesday, 17 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
 In the last three months approximately 72 tankers changed hands involving ships larger than 33kdwt up to VLCC. 43 of those vessels had to do with traditionally crude carriers and 29 involving ships from 33kdwt up to 78kdwt. As brokers we can say that even if there were twice as many ships available for sale there would still be buyers left hungry for tonnage. The strategy of investing in a low market seems to be in full effect now. Shipowners are willing to purchase and subsidize a tanker for a period of time until better days are on the horizon.
So, are better days upon us soon?
The same question was asked back in 2016 when the dry market was in trouble and assets were being sold for almost 40% less compared to now. Many back then thought that the market would sink even further. Instead, improving fundamentals and a consequent change of mood resulted in an asset value rally that lasted all the way until the second quarter of 2018.
As far as the tanker market is now concerned, the reality is that better days have been anticipated during the past couple of years, with different milestones set for crude and product tankers respectively. The product story, the BWMS system story and the demolition story were some of them, with the last one being tight up mostly to crude carriers that saw an overwhelming increase in scrapping activity. Now the latest milestone is 2020 for the product segment and early 2019 for crude tankers.
The product market milestone has a lot to do with the low sulfur regulations and an anticipated need for low sulfur fuel that will render product carriers from - MRs to LR2 (LR3 are also being mentioned a lot also) - the vessels of choice. On the crude side, things are already looking better every day for the past couple of weeks. Sentiment is positive and ships for sale are scarce, while depending on the resilience of the rates we might actually see a rise on values sooner rather than later.
On the other hand there is an abundance of MR candidates of 9 up to 14 years old, Japanese owned and built. Interesting enough we don’t see a lot of Korean built MRs for sale, but that has to do mostly with the profile of owners. Japanese owned ships are usually placed in the market just before their employment expires and with the frequency we see new ships being circulated we can assume that charterers are not very keen to extend employment. A plethora of ships usually leads to lower prices as buyers have the tendency to either wait or offer less than the last done reported deal when supply is ample. Either way the product segment is trailing its crude counterpart, at least for now when it comes to sentiment.
It seems that the market is bottoming out and depending on the respective strategy of each owner there is a variety of opportunities to invest. As it is always the case when a sector has suffered bad earnings for a prolonged period of time, resulting in diminishing asset prices, buyers can assess easier the market as when to invest, and now more than ever it is a buyers market.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 24 October 18
MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
Looking at 2018 SnP activity, it is evident that Greek, Chinese and North European (German and Norwegian) owners are the top buying nationalities, ...
Wednesday, 24 October 18
CHINESE POWER PLANT STOCKPILES AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2015 - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
Chinese power plant coal stockpiles have climbed to approximately 83.3 million tons as of the middle of this month, said Jeffrey Landsberg in his e ...
Tuesday, 23 October 18
WILL THE U.S. COAL DECLINE CONTINUE? - FORBES
What’s Trump’s new coal proposal?
Adding to its controversial plan to leverage federal authority to keep retiring baselo ...
Monday, 22 October 18
CONTINUED HIGH LNG PRICES; TRADE WAR IMPACT LIMITED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects sustained high spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) and contract prices over the next two quarters on limited investment in LNG e ...
Monday, 22 October 18
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
The oil market in the winter season is generally characterized by demand for diesel, particularly in the northern hemisphere, leaving product marke ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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