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Wednesday, 17 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
 In the last three months approximately 72 tankers changed hands involving ships larger than 33kdwt up to VLCC. 43 of those vessels had to do with traditionally crude carriers and 29 involving ships from 33kdwt up to 78kdwt. As brokers we can say that even if there were twice as many ships available for sale there would still be buyers left hungry for tonnage. The strategy of investing in a low market seems to be in full effect now. Shipowners are willing to purchase and subsidize a tanker for a period of time until better days are on the horizon.
So, are better days upon us soon?
The same question was asked back in 2016 when the dry market was in trouble and assets were being sold for almost 40% less compared to now. Many back then thought that the market would sink even further. Instead, improving fundamentals and a consequent change of mood resulted in an asset value rally that lasted all the way until the second quarter of 2018.
As far as the tanker market is now concerned, the reality is that better days have been anticipated during the past couple of years, with different milestones set for crude and product tankers respectively. The product story, the BWMS system story and the demolition story were some of them, with the last one being tight up mostly to crude carriers that saw an overwhelming increase in scrapping activity. Now the latest milestone is 2020 for the product segment and early 2019 for crude tankers.
The product market milestone has a lot to do with the low sulfur regulations and an anticipated need for low sulfur fuel that will render product carriers from - MRs to LR2 (LR3 are also being mentioned a lot also) - the vessels of choice. On the crude side, things are already looking better every day for the past couple of weeks. Sentiment is positive and ships for sale are scarce, while depending on the resilience of the rates we might actually see a rise on values sooner rather than later.
On the other hand there is an abundance of MR candidates of 9 up to 14 years old, Japanese owned and built. Interesting enough we don’t see a lot of Korean built MRs for sale, but that has to do mostly with the profile of owners. Japanese owned ships are usually placed in the market just before their employment expires and with the frequency we see new ships being circulated we can assume that charterers are not very keen to extend employment. A plethora of ships usually leads to lower prices as buyers have the tendency to either wait or offer less than the last done reported deal when supply is ample. Either way the product segment is trailing its crude counterpart, at least for now when it comes to sentiment.
It seems that the market is bottoming out and depending on the respective strategy of each owner there is a variety of opportunities to invest. As it is always the case when a sector has suffered bad earnings for a prolonged period of time, resulting in diminishing asset prices, buyers can assess easier the market as when to invest, and now more than ever it is a buyers market.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 27 November 18
PANAMAX AND SUPRAMAX INDICES WITNESSED A DECLINE OF JUST BELOW 14% IN THEIR MEAN ON A MONTH-ON-MONTH COMPARISON - ALLIED SHIPPING
A month of sharp corrections and great asymmetries for the dry bulk sector, with the overall overview of the market shipping rapidly from a state o ...
Monday, 26 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN MARKET STALLED THIS WEEK WITH A BUILD-UP OF TONNAGE - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was a positive end to the week, with West Australia/China making significant gains and firing owners’ resolve. There was talk ...
Friday, 23 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY'S POTENTIAL ACQUISITION OF STANMORE CREDIT POSITIVE - FITCH RATINGS
Golden Energy and Resources Limited's (GEAR, B+/Positive) potential acquisition of Stanmore Coal will help the company diversify its coal opera ...
Friday, 23 November 18
ASSOCIATION CALLS FOR REVISION OF DMO SCHEME FOR COAL - JP
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) has called on the government to revise the domestic market obligation (DMO) scheme for coal, which re ...
Friday, 23 November 18
INDONESIA'S REVENUES FROM MINERAL AND COAL INCREASE TO US$ 2.858 BILLION - ANTARA
Indonesia`s non-tax state revenues from the mineral and coal sub-sector reached Rp 41.77 trillion (approximately US$ 2.858 Billion) as of Nov 16, 2 ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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