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Wednesday, 03 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 The bunker fuel supply and availability landscape is close to its transformation with the enforcement of the IMO’s global 0.5% fuel Sulphur content cap regulation from 1st of January, 2020. Shipowners will have to choose between available options for them to comply with the regulation, while refiners will have to make suitable changes to refinery configuration and production in response to market demand. Thus far all parties will have to decide on the most efficient and appropriate solution that will suit their operations and allow them to remain commercially sustainable in the long run.
The swipe from the present 3.5% to 0.5% Sulphur content marine fuel will practically be an overnight shift as refineries would need to continue production and supply of up to 3.5% marine fuel until the day regulation requirement kicks in. Global refining will face enormous logistics, storage and delivery issues, while ships will have to clean out fuel systems to avoid Sulphur contamination. Thus, there is a risk such quick swing to lead to a period of product shortages and inflated marine oil prices. According to data reported on average up to 2017, the shipping industry was consuming approximately 3.2m barrels p/d of HFO and 800k p/d of MGO. Accordingly, from 2020 onwards it is estimated that proportion will alter to 700k p/d of HFO to 3.4m barrels p/d of MGO. Obviously, the use of compliant Sulphur oil products will be the expensive solution for ship-owners that will either absorb the cost or possibly operators will try to pass the cost to Charterers via increased freight rates.
Simple refineries that produce a substantial share of their crude oil into HFO may face margin pressures, while complex refineries with greater infrastructures may potentially boost margins with larger production of low Sulphur products. IEA has stated that if refiners ran at similar utilization rates as of today, it would be unlikely to produce the essential volumes of gas oil. Particularly, if quantity rises to meet the required gas oil volumes, margins would be inevitably affected by shrinking profits.
Overall, oil majors and refineries will try to back up the bunker fuel demand ascending from the new regulation through several ways. Refiners may elevate ULSFO production by extracting low Sulphur fuel streams that are currently blended into LSFO or HSFO will be made available to the market as ULS FO. ExxonMobil, for example has introduced a product, Heavy Distillate Marine ECA 50 that can be consumed onboard like HFO and has only 0.1% Sulphur content. Furthermore, refiners have an issue of handling their surplus residue as this option comes with higher risk on returns of investment. This is due to the fact that oil demand is founded on shippers’ uptake of alternative options such as scrubber installation and LNG bunkering. Refiners can raise LNG bunker supplies in major bunkering hubs. In Singapore, Shell and ExxonMobil are working with Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore to supply LNG as fuel.
To sum up, in the scenario that refineries restrict the availability of HFO on expected higher margins from selling MGO, then vessels fitted with scrubbers might face challenges in relation to adequate supply of HFO. On the other hand, refineries worry that any surge in the use of MGO would head to excess quantity of HFO. For sure refineries are not rushing to big investments to change production set ups while ship-owners are still considering their options. It’s a dilemma for all parties and a puzzle to be solved.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 28 September 18
INDONESIA 2018 COAL OUTPUT TARGET NOW AROUND 507 MLN T - ENERGY MINISTRY : REUTERS
Indonesia has increased its 2018 coal production target to around 507 million tonnes from a previous target of 485 million tonnes, the Energy Minis ...
Friday, 28 September 18
FITCH RATINGS: METALLURGICAL COAL MINERS MAY CURB COSTS AS PRICES SLIP
Strong cost inflation in the global metallurgical coal sector suggests that miners may focus on cost controls as prices decline from their current ...
Wednesday, 26 September 18
IS YOUR CHARTER PARTY READY FOR 2020? - METTE KRONHOLM FRAENDE, BIMCO
As the deadline for the IMO’s global low-sulphur fuel requirements fast approaches, it is necessary to carefully check the bunker clauses in ...
Wednesday, 26 September 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk SnP market saw an admittedly busy summer season, there is a noticeable slowdown in activity during the past thre ...
Tuesday, 25 September 18
THE INCONVENIENT TRUTH OF RISING COAL PRICES - FORBES
Coal prices are not supposed to be rising as governments tighten environmental controls but that’s precisely what is happening at the premium ...
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Showing 1606 to 1610 news of total 6871 |
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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