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Wednesday, 03 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 The bunker fuel supply and availability landscape is close to its transformation with the enforcement of the IMO’s global 0.5% fuel Sulphur content cap regulation from 1st of January, 2020. Shipowners will have to choose between available options for them to comply with the regulation, while refiners will have to make suitable changes to refinery configuration and production in response to market demand. Thus far all parties will have to decide on the most efficient and appropriate solution that will suit their operations and allow them to remain commercially sustainable in the long run.
The swipe from the present 3.5% to 0.5% Sulphur content marine fuel will practically be an overnight shift as refineries would need to continue production and supply of up to 3.5% marine fuel until the day regulation requirement kicks in. Global refining will face enormous logistics, storage and delivery issues, while ships will have to clean out fuel systems to avoid Sulphur contamination. Thus, there is a risk such quick swing to lead to a period of product shortages and inflated marine oil prices. According to data reported on average up to 2017, the shipping industry was consuming approximately 3.2m barrels p/d of HFO and 800k p/d of MGO. Accordingly, from 2020 onwards it is estimated that proportion will alter to 700k p/d of HFO to 3.4m barrels p/d of MGO. Obviously, the use of compliant Sulphur oil products will be the expensive solution for ship-owners that will either absorb the cost or possibly operators will try to pass the cost to Charterers via increased freight rates.
Simple refineries that produce a substantial share of their crude oil into HFO may face margin pressures, while complex refineries with greater infrastructures may potentially boost margins with larger production of low Sulphur products. IEA has stated that if refiners ran at similar utilization rates as of today, it would be unlikely to produce the essential volumes of gas oil. Particularly, if quantity rises to meet the required gas oil volumes, margins would be inevitably affected by shrinking profits.
Overall, oil majors and refineries will try to back up the bunker fuel demand ascending from the new regulation through several ways. Refiners may elevate ULSFO production by extracting low Sulphur fuel streams that are currently blended into LSFO or HSFO will be made available to the market as ULS FO. ExxonMobil, for example has introduced a product, Heavy Distillate Marine ECA 50 that can be consumed onboard like HFO and has only 0.1% Sulphur content. Furthermore, refiners have an issue of handling their surplus residue as this option comes with higher risk on returns of investment. This is due to the fact that oil demand is founded on shippers’ uptake of alternative options such as scrubber installation and LNG bunkering. Refiners can raise LNG bunker supplies in major bunkering hubs. In Singapore, Shell and ExxonMobil are working with Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore to supply LNG as fuel.
To sum up, in the scenario that refineries restrict the availability of HFO on expected higher margins from selling MGO, then vessels fitted with scrubbers might face challenges in relation to adequate supply of HFO. On the other hand, refineries worry that any surge in the use of MGO would head to excess quantity of HFO. For sure refineries are not rushing to big investments to change production set ups while ship-owners are still considering their options. It’s a dilemma for all parties and a puzzle to be solved.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 28 September 18
INDONESIA 2018 COAL OUTPUT TARGET NOW AROUND 507 MLN T - ENERGY MINISTRY : REUTERS
Indonesia has increased its 2018 coal production target to around 507 million tonnes from a previous target of 485 million tonnes, the Energy Minis ...
Friday, 28 September 18
FITCH RATINGS: METALLURGICAL COAL MINERS MAY CURB COSTS AS PRICES SLIP
Strong cost inflation in the global metallurgical coal sector suggests that miners may focus on cost controls as prices decline from their current ...
Wednesday, 26 September 18
IS YOUR CHARTER PARTY READY FOR 2020? - METTE KRONHOLM FRAENDE, BIMCO
As the deadline for the IMO’s global low-sulphur fuel requirements fast approaches, it is necessary to carefully check the bunker clauses in ...
Wednesday, 26 September 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk SnP market saw an admittedly busy summer season, there is a noticeable slowdown in activity during the past thre ...
Tuesday, 25 September 18
THE INCONVENIENT TRUTH OF RISING COAL PRICES - FORBES
Coal prices are not supposed to be rising as governments tighten environmental controls but that’s precisely what is happening at the premium ...
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Showing 1606 to 1610 news of total 6871 |
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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