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Friday, 28 September 18
FITCH RATINGS: METALLURGICAL COAL MINERS MAY CURB COSTS AS PRICES SLIP
Strong cost inflation in the global metallurgical coal sector suggests that miners may focus on cost controls as prices decline from their current high levels over the next 18 months, say Fitch Ratings and CRU. However, mining companies rated by Fitch are well-positioned for any potential squeeze on margins, as their costs are relatively low by global standards and, in most cases, their diversified business operations limit exposure to the sector.
CRU estimates that global costs in the metallurgical coal sector increased by 18% in 2017 and continued to rise in 2018. Severe weather has played a role in Australia, causing supply-chain disruption that led to demurrage penalties and increased storage costs for unshipped coal. However, costs have also been pushed up globally by higher oil prices and attempts by mining companies to maximise production to take advantage of high prices.
Coking coal prices are currently sufficiently high that cost inflation has not undermined profitability. CRU estimates that the seaborne industry generated an average cash margin of 40% in 2016-2017, and profitability has remained very strong this year.
The metallurgical coal market is unlikely to become oversupplied in the near term, and Fitch does not expect prices to fall deep into the cost curve, as they did during 2014-2016. However, prices have already eased off from their peak of USD260/tonne in 4Q16, and are likely to decline further as supply constraints continue to ease. Fitch’s current assumptions are that hard coking coal prices will average USD185/tonne this year and USD140/tonne thereafter. These declines could put pressure on some less competitive mining companies to reduce costs to protect margins.
Among Fitch-rated companies, Teck Resources (BB+/Positive) has the largest exposure to the metallurgical coal sector, which accounted for 60% of its segment EBITDA in the 12 months to 30 June 2018. The company is among those that have increased use of contractors and rented more mining equipment to raise short-term output, which has pushed up marginal costs. Nevertheless, Teck is still in the lower half of the global cost curve (FOB port) and its costs remain lower in US dollar terms than in 2014. Teck has also taken advantage of strong margins and cash flow to reduce leverage. The main credit issue facing the company is the prospect of continued project spending and its funding resulting in weaker cash flows and higher financial leverage.
BHP Billiton (A/Stable) and Anglo American (BBB-/Stable) also have significant metallurgical coal assets, mostly located in Australia, where coal mines are generally relatively low cost by global standards. BHP and Anglo also have diversified operations, with metallurgical coal accounting for only around 16% of BHP Billiton’s revenue and 17% of Anglo’s in the financial year ending June 2017. There could be increased focus on improving efficiency in the Australian coal sector, as already signalled by some companies, but CRU and the Australian government expect production to continue to grow strongly over the next four years.
Meanwhile, mining service companies and earthmoving equipment manufacturers should continue to benefit from rising demand and a better pricing environment as miners continue with new projects and increase production. Emeco (B/Stable), which has the largest exposure to metallurgical coal among Fitch-rated companies, reported improved EBITDA margin as the commodity sector recovered. It also improved its leverage position. Further leverage improvements are likely in 2019-2021 due to equity-funded acquisitions and a tight rental equipment market in Australia.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Thursday, 13 September 18
SHIPPING IS INCREASINGLY CAUGHT IN THE TRADE WAR LINE OF CROSSFIRE - PETER SAND
Once again, the already long list of tariffed goods has been made even longer. Many more commodities were hit on 23 August, but September is likely ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LETTERS OF INDEMNITY AND CHARTERPARTY "TIME BAR" PROVISIONS - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Introduction
A recent English Court of Appeal decision provides important guidance on the applicability of charterpar ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
IS LNG POISED FOR A NEW GROWTH CYCLE? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gas needs to work for its long-term sustainability. But the mood music is upbeat. Just 18 months ago the LNG market was depressed, anticipating an ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
U.S. TOTAL COAL EXPORTS TO BE 107 MMST IN 2018 AND 101 MMST IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1% to 768 million short tons (MMst) in 2018, despite a 10% (10 MMst) increase in coal exports.
...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
MARINE BUNKERS: THE END OF THE WORLD AS WE KNOW IT - IBIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The world of bunkers is heading for rapid and fundamental changes and not just because of the 0.50% sulphur cap in 2020. ...
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Showing 1621 to 1625 news of total 6871 |
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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