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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Wednesday, 05 September 18
ASIAN DEMAND COULD CREATE DEFICIT IN GLOBAL LNG MARKET - FITCH RATINGS
Growing gas demand from Asia, particularly from China, could swing the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market into a deficit by 2022-2025, Fitch Rating ...
Tuesday, 04 September 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN SECTOR REMAINED ACTIVE WITH RATES STILL FIRM ESPECIALLY IN SE ASIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A turnaround in fortunes for the big ships, with a few slower days in the market. A build-up of tonnage and a lack of Brazil cargoes r ...
Thursday, 30 August 18
SUPRAMAX: CIS COAL TO FAR EAST WENT AT MID TENS AND TO SE ASIA AT CA USD 8000 - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There was a slow start this week with holiday in UK on Monday. The index has been slowly coming off since then; The C5 route has seen ...
Wednesday, 29 August 18
IMPACT ON CHARTERPARTIES - TIME TO ACT NOW : NORTH P&I CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The challenges introduced by the global sulphur cap are not exclusively technical. The new limits are likely to impact co ...
Tuesday, 28 August 18
COURT CONCLUDES DELIVERY MADE IN ACCORDANCE WITH TERMS OF LOIS - INCE&CO
Glencore Agriculture BV v Navig8 Chemicals Pool Inc (Songa Winds) [2018] EWCA 1901 (Civ)
In this case, the Commercial Court fo ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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