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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Monday, 08 October 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 520,000 TONS OF COLOMBIAN ORIGIN OF 5,700 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Colombian origin ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA USUAL COAL RUNS WERE COVERED AT US$ 12K - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earnings up close to 15 pct in 5 trading days, thus patience finally paying off for owners of the big ships - Chinese play ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
A CASE FOR 20/20 VISION? IMO'S LOW SULPHUR FUEL LIMIT UNDER MARPOL ANNEX VI WHICH COMES INTO FORCE ON 1ST JANUARY 2020
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The implementation of the global 0.5% sulphur cap for bunker fuel under MARPOL Annex VI in just under 18 months’ ti ...
Friday, 05 October 18
COAL PRODUCTION REACHES 64% OF 2018 TARGET : THE JAKARTA POST
National coal production up to August has already reached 311 million tons, or 64 percent of this year's total target of 485 million tons, acco ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
VALUE OF AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS TIPPED TO DECLINE SHARPLY OVER NEXT 18 MONTHS - THE GUARDIAN
Thermal coal prices forecast to drop 25% and metallurgical coal prices 23% as value of iron ore exports also falls
The value of Aust ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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