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Wednesday, 22 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
 During the most quite week of the summer period we witnessed a trade war between United States and Turkey. A battle, which started with the arrest of an American pastor in Turkey. The effects of the trade war were immediate with U.S. President Tramp stating on twitter: I have just authorized a doubling of Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum with respect to Turkey as their currency, the Turkish Lira, slides rapidly downward against our very strong Dollar! Aluminum will now be 20% and Steel 50%. Our relations with Turkey are not good at this time.
This had as a consequence the fall of the Turkish Lira from 5.25 to a historical low against the U.S dollar. With the new sanctions Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reacted with boycotting American electronics and announced that Turkey will place a 140% tariff on U.S. alcohol, 120% on U.S. passenger vehicles and 60% on tobacco. Other products subject to new tariffs will include rice, nuts, cosmetics, uncoated paper and mechanical appliances. In addition, in order to boost its economy Turkey successfully secured a $15 billion investment from Qatar. The Qatari state announced that the money would go towards economic projects, investments and deposits.
The results of the trade war are immediate as MMK, one of Russia's largest steel producers, has postponed the launch of a lucrative project in Turkey due to the uncertainty that has been created amongst the counties. According to the news it is estimated that this investment is worth around $2 billion.
Focusing on the shipping industry, can this battle between the countries, affect the market in general? As we have already seen, a sector that is being affected from the trade war is Turkey’s demolition market. More specifically last week they were rumours that local cash buyers refused to offer for demo tonnage with the huge drop of Turkish Lira and local steel plate prices. Although there is not any official announcement that the market is closed, it is uncertain how the market will perform during the rest of the year. The possibility that many ship owners will change their decision to send their vessels for demo in Turkey is now big, while the said import tariffs could add extra pressure on the local market.
On the other open front between the U.S. and China expectations remain mixed. On one hand, positive news emerged last week in regards to the end of this trade war that pushed Asian market up, but following this news President Trump stated on an interview in Reuters that there is still "no timeframe" for such development.
All in all, 2018 is undoubtedly a good year so far for the shipping industry in most markets and everyone is expecting a strong Q4. But, as we all know to trade wars and politics greatly affect the shipping industry especially when we are referring to the strongest economies in the world. It therefore remains to be seen whether all of the above will push back the on-going recovery in a number of sectors or not.
By George Panagopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 September 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA COAL RUN WAS FIXED CLOSE TO $16000 ON ULTRA - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Rates took a further drop in the beginning of the week, to later find a floor around mid-week reaching mid USD 7 level for c5 and just ...
Thursday, 13 September 18
SHIPPING IS INCREASINGLY CAUGHT IN THE TRADE WAR LINE OF CROSSFIRE - PETER SAND
Once again, the already long list of tariffed goods has been made even longer. Many more commodities were hit on 23 August, but September is likely ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LETTERS OF INDEMNITY AND CHARTERPARTY "TIME BAR" PROVISIONS - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Introduction
A recent English Court of Appeal decision provides important guidance on the applicability of charterpar ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
IS LNG POISED FOR A NEW GROWTH CYCLE? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gas needs to work for its long-term sustainability. But the mood music is upbeat. Just 18 months ago the LNG market was depressed, anticipating an ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
U.S. TOTAL COAL EXPORTS TO BE 107 MMST IN 2018 AND 101 MMST IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1% to 768 million short tons (MMst) in 2018, despite a 10% (10 MMst) increase in coal exports.
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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