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Wednesday, 22 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
 During the most quite week of the summer period we witnessed a trade war between United States and Turkey. A battle, which started with the arrest of an American pastor in Turkey. The effects of the trade war were immediate with U.S. President Tramp stating on twitter: I have just authorized a doubling of Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum with respect to Turkey as their currency, the Turkish Lira, slides rapidly downward against our very strong Dollar! Aluminum will now be 20% and Steel 50%. Our relations with Turkey are not good at this time.
This had as a consequence the fall of the Turkish Lira from 5.25 to a historical low against the U.S dollar. With the new sanctions Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reacted with boycotting American electronics and announced that Turkey will place a 140% tariff on U.S. alcohol, 120% on U.S. passenger vehicles and 60% on tobacco. Other products subject to new tariffs will include rice, nuts, cosmetics, uncoated paper and mechanical appliances. In addition, in order to boost its economy Turkey successfully secured a $15 billion investment from Qatar. The Qatari state announced that the money would go towards economic projects, investments and deposits.
The results of the trade war are immediate as MMK, one of Russia's largest steel producers, has postponed the launch of a lucrative project in Turkey due to the uncertainty that has been created amongst the counties. According to the news it is estimated that this investment is worth around $2 billion.
Focusing on the shipping industry, can this battle between the countries, affect the market in general? As we have already seen, a sector that is being affected from the trade war is Turkey’s demolition market. More specifically last week they were rumours that local cash buyers refused to offer for demo tonnage with the huge drop of Turkish Lira and local steel plate prices. Although there is not any official announcement that the market is closed, it is uncertain how the market will perform during the rest of the year. The possibility that many ship owners will change their decision to send their vessels for demo in Turkey is now big, while the said import tariffs could add extra pressure on the local market.
On the other open front between the U.S. and China expectations remain mixed. On one hand, positive news emerged last week in regards to the end of this trade war that pushed Asian market up, but following this news President Trump stated on an interview in Reuters that there is still "no timeframe" for such development.
All in all, 2018 is undoubtedly a good year so far for the shipping industry in most markets and everyone is expecting a strong Q4. But, as we all know to trade wars and politics greatly affect the shipping industry especially when we are referring to the strongest economies in the world. It therefore remains to be seen whether all of the above will push back the on-going recovery in a number of sectors or not.
By George Panagopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 08 October 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 520,000 TONS OF COLOMBIAN ORIGIN OF 5,700 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Colombian origin ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA USUAL COAL RUNS WERE COVERED AT US$ 12K - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earnings up close to 15 pct in 5 trading days, thus patience finally paying off for owners of the big ships - Chinese play ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
A CASE FOR 20/20 VISION? IMO'S LOW SULPHUR FUEL LIMIT UNDER MARPOL ANNEX VI WHICH COMES INTO FORCE ON 1ST JANUARY 2020
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The implementation of the global 0.5% sulphur cap for bunker fuel under MARPOL Annex VI in just under 18 months’ ti ...
Friday, 05 October 18
COAL PRODUCTION REACHES 64% OF 2018 TARGET : THE JAKARTA POST
National coal production up to August has already reached 311 million tons, or 64 percent of this year's total target of 485 million tons, acco ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
VALUE OF AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS TIPPED TO DECLINE SHARPLY OVER NEXT 18 MONTHS - THE GUARDIAN
Thermal coal prices forecast to drop 25% and metallurgical coal prices 23% as value of iron ore exports also falls
The value of Aust ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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