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Wednesday, 08 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
IntermodalSingapore's shipyard business has evolved over the decades, from shipbuilding and repairs to rig building. It's now evolving again, to cater to the liquefied natural gas trade and floating platforms. The oil price crash in 2014 has had a catastrophic effect on the offshore and marine sector - one of the jewels of  the Singapore economy. Some light has appeared at the end of the tunnel, however no one in the industry is talking about a major rebound yet. The rig-building industry in particular, has been on the mend in recent months as market activity continues to pick up. This could hopefully mark the beginning of an overdue recovery for the world's two biggest firms in the sector - Keppel Offshore & Marine (Keppel O&M) and Sembcorp Marine.
 
The offshore industry as a whole, along with a first class finance sector, has been a key pillar of Singapore’s economic transformation into a first world economy since it’s independence and a source of national pride. The collapse in oil prices over the last years has resulted in thousands of jobs lost, several defaults by big organizations and billions of dollars in debt restructurings. 
 
Now, as oil prices pick up, the offshore industry in Singapore is slowly recovering and we hope coming back to life. The offshore and marine engineering industry’s direct output contribution has almost been  halved since 2014 to about 1 percent of the city-state’s economy, but its significance extends beyond manufacturing itself and has an impact across various segments.
 
On a positive note last month we saw two major listed groups linked to Malaysia's richest tycoon Robert Kuok joining forces to penetrate Taiwan's budding offshore wind sector. POSH (PACC Offshore Services Holdings) and Kerry TJ Logistics in mid July formalised a joint venture for Taiwan's offshore wind market. Mr Kuok is a controlling shareholder of POSH, a Singapore-listed offshore support, tugowner and vessel operator. 
 
About one-third - 40 - of the vessels in POSH's current fleet are suited for deployment in offshore wind projects. Of course with the group’s joint venture POSH Terasea, they also have access as a specialist to offshore marine markets primarily focusing on niche specialty services like long haul ocean towage, mooring installation of FPSOs, Floating Production Systems, towage of semi-submersibles and other offshore installations.
 
Looking at the overall picture, the bigger question is whether the Singapore firms should consider to move out of the rig-building business altogether or diversify activities and reduce exposure. The offshore and marine engineering industry of Singapore remains an important one for the country, contributing 1.3 per cent to the economy in year 2015, with a value-add of $4.95 billion. 
 
The numbers may be less impressive than the 1.9 per cent gross domestic product contribution seen in 2014 (just before the prolonged collapse of oil prices), with a $7.15 billion value-add, but the fact remains that Singapore continues to hold around 70 per cent of the global market for jack-up rig manufacturing as well as FPSO vessel conversion. Obviously this is a very strong position that has an impact across several industries of the Singaporean economy.

By Christopher Whitty
Towage and Port Agency Division

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations

Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

George Panagopoulos

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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