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Wednesday, 25 July 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
 We are now into the second half of 2018, which so far has not been a fruitful year for tankers. With 2020 quickly approaching we need to consider the implications arising from the new fuel directives. 2020 seems to be the year that there will be a noticeable increase in the cost of moving cargo, with the forces driving costs upwards being either scrubbers and/or the increased demand for cleaner fuels.
The need for cleaner fuels will not only boost demand for product tankers though. Given the much higher crude oil quantities the production of these cleaner fuels requires compared to HFO, a boost in crude oil demand and a consequent support on crude tanker freight rates appears to also be in the cards.
The increase in fuel costs will definitely increase revenues but not profits. Therefore small owners with older, less efficient units, not capable of installing scrubbers, will be forced to either merge with larger companies, who have the cash flow to support financing, or in some cases will have to sell/ scrap and exit the industry. This filtering process will separate companies that managed to evolve and endure through the cycle and concurrently will correct the oversupply of tonnage, which drives rates in some cases well below their operating expenses today.
Vessels equipped with scrubbers or eco units will have a competitive advantage and owners will be able to fix periods at levels including a premium, as charterers will prefer to charter compliant and fuel efficient units. The market right now for a 1 year time charter, medium range non eco / non scrubber equipped tanker trading in clean petroleum products is around USD 13,000 per day. On the other hand, an eco/scrubber equipped unit would get approximately USD 14,500 - 15,000 per day for the same period.
We can identify that the difference of USD 1,500 - 2,000 per day is the premium charterers are paying in order to be 2020 compliant and have efficient units under their time charter. Apart from Ship owners/operators and charterers, it's also quite interesting to see how modern refineries are getting prepared for these changes. According to HSBC's research on IMO 2020, four of the most technically advanced refineries, S-oil, SK Innovation, Reliance Industries and Repsol are further upgrading and investing in their plants. They target to eliminate their HFO production by early to mid-2020. Specifically, SKI will focus on refining only very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO). The goal of these refineries is to find themselves in a position where, come 2020, they have substantially decreased– or even better entirely eliminated – the production of HFO.
Mr. T. Veniamis on behalf of the Union of Greek Ship Owners, stated that Greek ship owners are working hard to comply with the 2020 requirements (0.5% sulfur cap). He also stressed the importance that these cleaner fuels are – aside from compliant – also safe for both the crew and the ship itself. To conclude, the general sentiment particularly for Owners with units up to MR size without scrubbers, is to patiently wait and plan day by day, as the investment of installing scrubbers on older units may not make financial sense given today’s fundamentals.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 23 August 18
SUPRAMAX: SOME FRESH COAL CARGOES APPEARED IN SE ASIA, GIVING A BIT PRESSURE ON RATES FOR END AUGUST SHIPMENTS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Slightly softer but generally very healthy for the big ships, with limited supply of early tonnage and positive Brazilian ore export v ...
Wednesday, 22 August 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 480K TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT & SHIN BORYEONG POWER PLANTS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 480,000 mt of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origi ...
Wednesday, 22 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
During the most quite week of the summer period we witnessed a trade war between United States and Turkey. A battle, which started with the arrest ...
Monday, 20 August 18
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE BSI INDEX WITH GAINS MADE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of largely unfulfilled expectations with holidays again curbing activity. Rates remained essentially healthy, but despite bad wea ...
Friday, 17 August 18
DO ARBITRATION AGREEMENTS IN BILLS OF LADING BIND THEIR HOLDERS? - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Bills of lading are a crucial part of the security package traditionally sought by trade finance providers.
...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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