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Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMO AIMS TO HALVE GLOBAL SHIPPING EMISSIONS - BUT WHAT WILL IT COST? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global bunker fuel costs could rise by up to US$60 billion annually from 2020, in a full compliance scenario, when the International Maritime Organization's (IMO) 0.5 wt% sulphur cap for bunker fuels kicks in.
Fuel oil, which is high in sulphur content, has traditionally been used by the shipping industry as bunker fuel. In 2017, global demand for high-sulphur fuel oil stood at over 70% of overall bunker fuels.
With the implementation of the IMO regulation in 2020, shippers will have to consider a switch to alternative fuels, such as Ultra Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (ULSFO) or marine gas oil (MGO), or install scrubbers, a system that removes sulphur from exhaust gas emitted by bunkers.
Installing scrubbers may be an economically attractive option. Although there is an initial investment, shippers can expect a rate of return of between 20% and 50% depending on investment cost, MGO-fuel oil spread and ships' fuel consumption. However, the penetration rate for scrubbers could be limited by a number of factors, including access to finance, scrubber manufacturing capacity and dry-dock space.
Demand from the bunker fuels market will total about 5.3 million b/d in 2020, according to Wood Mackenzie forecasts.
Based on pure ULSFO refinery streams, available ULSFO volumes in 2020 will total about 1.2 million b/d. This could be boosted by further blending ULSFO with vacuum gas oil (VGO) streams, but VGO is a valuable feedstock for the production of other lighter refinery products, and may not be readily available.
It is likely that MGO will help meet additional demand from the shipping sector. Wood Mackenzie estimates that this will see MGO demand rise by over 1 million b/d in 2020 in our base case outlook. Meeting this demand will require higher crude runs with residue upgrading units, particularly in the US and China, supporting an uplift in refining margins.
It also provides refiners, particularly in the US and China, the opportunity to capture the value of their ULSFO component streams and increase their share of the global bunker market.
Some refiners should see better profit margins as incremental demand for MGO rises, pushing up its price. Higher refining runs, required to meet additional MGO demand, could potentially push global gasoline market into surplus weakening gasoline prices. This could mean that the gasoline pain for some refiners could be more acute than the impact of weaker HSFO prices. Overall, we expect a material impact on refining economics post IMO and refiners must ensure they have a robust IMO strategy in place.
We also expect a shift in bunkering locations based on compliant fuels availability. Singapore, for example, could potentially lose some of its market share for bunker fuels to China as shippers look for alternative locations with a surplus of compliant fuels. China, with ample MGO supply, is well positioned to attract shippers.
New greenfield upgrading investments from refiners are unlikely to be purely driven by IMO regulation, and there is a need to look at longer-term rationale and strategic fit of these projects. Structural shifts in the fuel oil and gasoil markets may result in better economics, but that needs to be re-evaluated. For refiners choosing not to invest, the focus should be on infrastructure to capture the opportunity from their existing configuration and internal streams.
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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