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Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMO AIMS TO HALVE GLOBAL SHIPPING EMISSIONS - BUT WHAT WILL IT COST? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global bunker fuel costs could rise by up to US$60 billion annually from 2020, in a full compliance scenario, when the International Maritime Organization's (IMO) 0.5 wt% sulphur cap for bunker fuels kicks in.
Fuel oil, which is high in sulphur content, has traditionally been used by the shipping industry as bunker fuel. In 2017, global demand for high-sulphur fuel oil stood at over 70% of overall bunker fuels.
With the implementation of the IMO regulation in 2020, shippers will have to consider a switch to alternative fuels, such as Ultra Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (ULSFO) or marine gas oil (MGO), or install scrubbers, a system that removes sulphur from exhaust gas emitted by bunkers.
Installing scrubbers may be an economically attractive option. Although there is an initial investment, shippers can expect a rate of return of between 20% and 50% depending on investment cost, MGO-fuel oil spread and ships' fuel consumption. However, the penetration rate for scrubbers could be limited by a number of factors, including access to finance, scrubber manufacturing capacity and dry-dock space.
Demand from the bunker fuels market will total about 5.3 million b/d in 2020, according to Wood Mackenzie forecasts.
Based on pure ULSFO refinery streams, available ULSFO volumes in 2020 will total about 1.2 million b/d. This could be boosted by further blending ULSFO with vacuum gas oil (VGO) streams, but VGO is a valuable feedstock for the production of other lighter refinery products, and may not be readily available.
It is likely that MGO will help meet additional demand from the shipping sector. Wood Mackenzie estimates that this will see MGO demand rise by over 1 million b/d in 2020 in our base case outlook. Meeting this demand will require higher crude runs with residue upgrading units, particularly in the US and China, supporting an uplift in refining margins.
It also provides refiners, particularly in the US and China, the opportunity to capture the value of their ULSFO component streams and increase their share of the global bunker market.
Some refiners should see better profit margins as incremental demand for MGO rises, pushing up its price. Higher refining runs, required to meet additional MGO demand, could potentially push global gasoline market into surplus weakening gasoline prices. This could mean that the gasoline pain for some refiners could be more acute than the impact of weaker HSFO prices. Overall, we expect a material impact on refining economics post IMO and refiners must ensure they have a robust IMO strategy in place.
We also expect a shift in bunkering locations based on compliant fuels availability. Singapore, for example, could potentially lose some of its market share for bunker fuels to China as shippers look for alternative locations with a surplus of compliant fuels. China, with ample MGO supply, is well positioned to attract shippers.
New greenfield upgrading investments from refiners are unlikely to be purely driven by IMO regulation, and there is a need to look at longer-term rationale and strategic fit of these projects. Structural shifts in the fuel oil and gasoil markets may result in better economics, but that needs to be re-evaluated. For refiners choosing not to invest, the focus should be on infrastructure to capture the opportunity from their existing configuration and internal streams.
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
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