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Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMO AIMS TO HALVE GLOBAL SHIPPING EMISSIONS - BUT WHAT WILL IT COST? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global bunker fuel costs could rise by up to US$60 billion annually from 2020, in a full compliance scenario, when the International Maritime Organization's (IMO) 0.5 wt% sulphur cap for bunker fuels kicks in.
Fuel oil, which is high in sulphur content, has traditionally been used by the shipping industry as bunker fuel. In 2017, global demand for high-sulphur fuel oil stood at over 70% of overall bunker fuels.
With the implementation of the IMO regulation in 2020, shippers will have to consider a switch to alternative fuels, such as Ultra Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (ULSFO) or marine gas oil (MGO), or install scrubbers, a system that removes sulphur from exhaust gas emitted by bunkers.
Installing scrubbers may be an economically attractive option. Although there is an initial investment, shippers can expect a rate of return of between 20% and 50% depending on investment cost, MGO-fuel oil spread and ships' fuel consumption. However, the penetration rate for scrubbers could be limited by a number of factors, including access to finance, scrubber manufacturing capacity and dry-dock space.
Demand from the bunker fuels market will total about 5.3 million b/d in 2020, according to Wood Mackenzie forecasts.
Based on pure ULSFO refinery streams, available ULSFO volumes in 2020 will total about 1.2 million b/d. This could be boosted by further blending ULSFO with vacuum gas oil (VGO) streams, but VGO is a valuable feedstock for the production of other lighter refinery products, and may not be readily available.
It is likely that MGO will help meet additional demand from the shipping sector. Wood Mackenzie estimates that this will see MGO demand rise by over 1 million b/d in 2020 in our base case outlook. Meeting this demand will require higher crude runs with residue upgrading units, particularly in the US and China, supporting an uplift in refining margins.
It also provides refiners, particularly in the US and China, the opportunity to capture the value of their ULSFO component streams and increase their share of the global bunker market.
Some refiners should see better profit margins as incremental demand for MGO rises, pushing up its price. Higher refining runs, required to meet additional MGO demand, could potentially push global gasoline market into surplus weakening gasoline prices. This could mean that the gasoline pain for some refiners could be more acute than the impact of weaker HSFO prices. Overall, we expect a material impact on refining economics post IMO and refiners must ensure they have a robust IMO strategy in place.
We also expect a shift in bunkering locations based on compliant fuels availability. Singapore, for example, could potentially lose some of its market share for bunker fuels to China as shippers look for alternative locations with a surplus of compliant fuels. China, with ample MGO supply, is well positioned to attract shippers.
New greenfield upgrading investments from refiners are unlikely to be purely driven by IMO regulation, and there is a need to look at longer-term rationale and strategic fit of these projects. Structural shifts in the fuel oil and gasoil markets may result in better economics, but that needs to be re-evaluated. For refiners choosing not to invest, the focus should be on infrastructure to capture the opportunity from their existing configuration and internal streams.
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Tuesday, 20 June 17
WORLD ECONOMY SHOWS A MORE OPTIMISTIC TREND
During the past weeks, we have seen many organizations and think tanks show a more optimistic face with regards to the world economy. The World Ban ...
Monday, 19 June 17
PANAMAX RATES HELP BALTIC INDEX TO A POSITIVE MOVE
COALspot.com: The Freight market rose very marginally this past week compared to the previous week, as BDI and Panamax indexes show a positive tren ...
Friday, 16 June 17
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION RISES; UP 24.1% Y/Y
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.5 million short tonn ...
Thursday, 15 June 17
SUPRAMAX NICKEL ORE FROM PHILIPPINES TO S. CHINA PAYING AROUND MID $10000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Market looked more promising from both sides of the basins. Within Atlantic USG returned with tick better rates seen as tonnage kept tig ...
Wednesday, 14 June 17
WORLD COAL PRODUCTION FELL BY 6.2%, THE LARGEST ANNUAL DECLINE ON RECORD - BP
COALspot.com: The 2017 edition of the BP Statistical Review of World Energy, shows global energy markets continuing to undergo long-term changes as ...
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Showing 2021 to 2025 news of total 6871 |
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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