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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Monday, 04 July 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SLIGHTLY DOWN IN JULY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for July delivery drops 1.52 per cent month on month.
The Indonesian Coal Price Refere ...
Sunday, 03 July 22
CHINESE VICE PREMIER STRESSES CLEAN, EFFICIENT USE OF COAL - XINHUA
Chinese Vice Premier Han Zheng has stressed efforts to promote the clean and efficient use of coal, and pursue green, low-carbon and high-quality d ...
Sunday, 03 July 22
SOVEREIGN SECTOR OUTLOOK REVISED TO NEUTRAL ON UKRAINE WAR IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
The deterioration in global sovereign credit conditions this year relative to our expectations at end-2021 has caused Fitch Ratings to change its g ...
Saturday, 02 July 22
GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL EXPORTS IN 2021 INCREASED BY 4.4% Y-O-Y TO 1147 MLN TONNES - BANCHERO COSTA
In the full 12 months of 2021, global seaborne coal exports increased by +4.4% y-o-y to 1147 mln tonnes, from 1099 mln tonnes in 2020, according to ...
Friday, 01 July 22
INDIA'S TOP CEMENT MAKER PAYING FOR RUSSIAN COAL IN CHINESE YUAN - REUTERS
India’s biggest cement producer, UltraTech Cement ULTC.NS, is importing a cargo of Russian coal and paying using Chinese yuan, according to a ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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