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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per da ...
Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, man ...
Friday, 22 July 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA CUTS 2022 COAL OUTPUT VIEW AS FLOODS, COVID BITE - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd YAL.AX cut its 2022 output forecast on Wednesday, signalling a hit from higher-than-expected rainfall, COVID-19-le ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
BOOST FOR BIOFUELS AS IMO REMOVES REGULATORY HURDLE - GARD
MARPOL Annex VI regulations were written for petroleum derived fuels but also apply to biofuels. It has been a challenge to meet the regulatory req ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORTS TO THE EU INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY RECENTLY
European countries have increased coal imports from Indonesia due to the energy crisis that hit the region after Russia cuts gas exports to Europe. ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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