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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Wednesday, 25 July 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
We are now into the second half of 2018, which so far has not been a fruitful year for tankers. With 2020 quickly approaching we need to consider t ...
Tuesday, 24 July 18
TANKER MARKET : IN TERMS OF TRADE, THE STEPS THAT WERE SLOWLY BEING TAKEN BY OPEC AND RUSSIA - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Despite the fact that the tanker market still seems to be in the midst of a perfect storm, there are still strong indicators that better sailing da ...
Thursday, 19 July 18
VINACOMIN PRODUCES OVER 20 MLN TONNES OF RAW COAL FROM YEAR'S START - VNA
The Vietnam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin) has produced over 20 million tonnes of raw coal and 19.3 million of clean coal f ...
Wednesday, 18 July 18
INDONESIA TO AUCTION 16 MINING SITES - JP
Indonesia will soon auction 16 mining sites as no proposal submissions have been submitted by state-owned enterprises (BUMN) and regional administr ...
Wednesday, 18 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
The new regulations for Chinese flag restricting import of Tier I ships have dominated market sentiment during the past days as buyers have been tr ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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