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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Friday, 10 August 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 1.8% IN 2019 BECAUSE COAL EXPORTS AND COAL CONSUMPTION ARE BOTH FORECAST TO DECREASE - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1.1% to 766 million short tons (MMst) in 2018 despite a 5.7% (6 MMst) increase in coal exports.
...
Thursday, 09 August 18
RIO TINTO COMPLETES SALE OF REMAINING COAL ASSETS
Rio Tinto has completed the sale of its remaining coal assets in Queensland, Australia, for $3.95 billion.
According to a noted post ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
CHINA DEMANDS PREMIUM IRON ORE, COAL; MINERS MIXED IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
China’s stricter environmental regulations and structural changes in its steelmaking industry boosts ongoing demand for high-quality iron ore ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Singapore's shipyard business has evolved over the decades, from shipbuilding and repairs to rig building. It's now evolving again, to cate ...
Friday, 03 August 18
PHEW! ASIA, EUROPE HEATWAVE PUSHES AUSTRALIA COAL PRICES TO 6-YEAR HIGH: REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit fresh six-year highs as a heatwave across the northern hemisphere has triggered a spike in demand for coal- ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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