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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Thursday, 09 May 19
OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN CONGRESS 2019
Offshore Caribbean Congress 2019
Event Date: 4-5th July. 2019t
Location: Georgetown, Guyana
Hess announced a new d ...
Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Re ...
Saturday, 04 May 19
HOW THE 'FAIR VALUE' OF COAL ASSETS IS AFFECTED BY COMMODITY CYCLES - CRU
As with any commodity, valuing coal assets can be tricky due to the cyclical nature of the market. In this insight, CRU discusses how commodity cyc ...
Friday, 03 May 19
SUPRAMAX: WITH WIDESPREAD HOLIDAYS DURING THE WEEK, THE MARKET LACKED IMPETUS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market last week was a tale of two halves, with substantial volatility. Beginning the week on a positive note the C5 West Australi ...
Friday, 03 May 19
COAL INDIA APRIL OUTPUT RISES 1% TO 45.29 MILLION TONNE - PTI
Coal India Ltd (CIL) Wednesday said its coal production in April 2019 rose by 1 per cent to 45.29 million tonne as compared with 44.86 million tonn ...
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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