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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Saturday, 15 February 20
CHEN ZHIDA: NOVEL CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR CHARTERPARTIES - SHIPOWNERS' CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Last month, the Club issued a bulletin on the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) which explained the origin of the virus a ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
AFRAMAX: A MORE POSITIVE ATTITUDE EXISTED IN THIS SECTOR WITH RATES IMPROVING ON ALL ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
VLCC
The market in the Middle East was unmoved this week, with Chinese refiners continuing to slow imports, allied with the impact of the Coron ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
A 56,000DWT VESSEL WAS CONCLUDED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Riding the downward momentum of the previous week, the market was always going to be hard pressed to make any sort of revival. With mu ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION WILL TOTAL 595 MMST IN 2020, DOWN 14% FROM 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019.
Lower ...
Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between Chin ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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