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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Tuesday, 09 June 20
BUNKER SUPPLY CONTRACTS - KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE BUYER - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Regardless of whether a buyer purchases fuel directly from physical suppliers or via brokers or traders and whether sale ...
Tuesday, 09 June 20
INDIA: COAL IMPORT DROPS BY 20% TO NEARLY 19 MILLION TONNES IN MAY, SAYS REPORT - HINDUSTAN TIMES
The country’s coal import dropped by 20 per cent to 18.93 million tonnes (MT) last month, industry data showed.
The government ...
Monday, 08 June 20
WOOD MACKENZIE: THE INDISPENSABLE OPEC+
Rumours of “the death of OPEC” have been circulating for almost as long as the organisation has existed. Just three years after the car ...
Monday, 08 June 20
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS FALL NEARLY 20% IN MAY EVEN AS DEMAND RISES - REUTERS
China’s coal imports in May fell nearly 20% compared with a year earlier even as demand recovered at power plants and industrial users, custo ...
Monday, 08 June 20
JUNE 2020 INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HIT US$ 52.98 A TON, ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE AT LEAST AUGUST 2016
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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