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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Wednesday, 02 December 20
INDONESIA CONSIDERING CLOSING 3,400MW SURALAYA COAL PLANT - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is considering to shut down the aging Suralaya coal-fired power plant (PLTU) in Cilegon, Banten, and replace it with green energy, a ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another busy week in the dry bulk secondhand market; a healthy number of sales reported predominantly from Japanese owners while owner& ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
DECLINE IN COAL EXPORTS ADDS TO NAVAJO-OWNED COMPANY'S PROBLEMS - IEEFA U.S.
Weak demand and low prices are likely creating steep losses for NTEC
U.S. coal exports to Asia—once heralded as the saving gra ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
COAL FINANCING QUICKLY DRYING UP WORLDWIDE - ANALYSTS : REUTERS
Financing for coal projects is drying up at ever increasing rates as more countries target zero carbon emissions amid an energy transition sweeping ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
LIBOR REPLACEMENT AND SHIP FINANCE - WHERE IS IT HEADING? - WFW
The likely replacement of the LIBOR at the end of 2021 creates difficult technical and practical issues for all sectors of business and finance. Th ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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