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Wednesday, 07 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
IntermodalThe comparably small upside Handysize asset values have noted compared to other sizes since the historical lows of the dry bulk market in combination with the intense competition witnessed in the second-hand market for Panamax and Supramax vessels, have made a number of Buyers start looking at this size with increased interest during recent months.

Indeed, since the start of December and up until mid-February buying interest for Handies was particularly intense, with units bigger than 32kdwt built in Japan proving more popular. We even saw two such candidates being sold on a waving inspection basis in order for the respective Buyers to beat competition. As far as Vietnamese and Chinese built candidates, interest has been mainly expressed by companies looking to get bigger and achieve economies of scale consequently focusing on en-bloc deals involving mainly vessels bigger than 35kdwt with 3 generators.

The interest in this size has in fact became so intense that such candidates are now harder to find, which paradoxically turned Buyers once again back to Supramax vessels. The later once again appeared attractive to those looking to invest, as secondhand prices were rather steady during the past couple of months and the strong momentum of 2017 q4 waned considerably throughout the Chinese New Year last month.

The increased interest in the size is indeed very evident in the number of last week’s transactions involving such vessels, with Buyers not discouraged by the admittedly large fleet as very low earnings volatility compared to the bigger sizes is characterizing Supramaxes. At the same time the gap between Japanese and Chinese built candidates has increased massively and is currently calculated at more than 30% in some cases as buying interest for Chinese Supras remains very low indeed.

As far as Kamsarmax vessels are concerned, enquiry for 2009-2012 vessels is particularly firm and hard to satisfy at the moment as such candidates remain few. The gap between Japanese and Chinese vessels is in this case smaller compared to that of Supramaxes, further evidence of the strong appetite Buyers have for such units. A representative example of this can be found in comparing the end of January transaction involving the “KEY SPRING” (80kdwt built ’12 Japan), which was sold for USD 22.5 million and that of the “SEA ACE” (81kdwt built ’12 China) that fetched USD 18.5 million 5 weeks later, a difference of 21%.

As far as Supramax and Panamax vessels built in early 2000, the number of sale candidates is substantially bigger mainly on the back of very low interest by Chinese buyers for 15-year old vessels with inspections and concluded deals on their side concerning almost exclusively vessels trading in the Far East. Talking about 15-year old vessels, the interest Greek buyers have been showing for Capesize candidates of this age is indeed very notable as up until the sale of the “AQUABEAUTY”  (171kdwt built ’03 Japan) nobody really believed such interest even existed.

The second quarter of the year, set to kick off in a few weeks, is traditionally considered a strong quarter for bulkers and it will be interesting to see how asset values and interest across the different sizes evolves then.
By Giannis Andritsopoulos
SnP Broker

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations

Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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