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Wednesday, 14 February 18
HISTORY REPEATING ITSELF? - IEA
 This month’s OMR is abbreviated to allow time for us to complete our annual five-year outlook that will be published in our report Oil 2018 on 5 March. Meanwhile, new and revised data shows a modest tightening of the balance in the early part of 2018, but the main message remains unchanged from last month and it is very clear: in 2018, fast rising production in non-OPEC countries, led by the US, is likely to grow by more than demand. For now, the upward momentum that drove the price of Brent crude oil to $70/bbl has stalled; partly due to investors taking profits, but also as part of the corrections we have seen recently in many markets. Most importantly, the underlying oil market fundamentals in the early part of 2018 look less supportive for prices.
Our demand growth estimate for 2017 remains strong at 1.6 mb/d, reinforced by November data for the US. For 2018, the more positive global economic picture published by the International Monetary Fund is a key factor in raising our growth outlook to 1.4 mb/d. It was thought that the significant increase in the dollar price of crude oil since the middle of 2017 would dampen growth, and this might be the case to some extent, but the impact of higher prices has been partly offset in some countries by currency appreciations.
It is clear that strong demand growth in 2017, alongside a modest increase last year in non-OPEC output, and the cuts made by leading producers, has contributed to the extraordinarily rapid fall in OECD oil stocks. A year ago, they were 264 mb above the five-year average and now they are only 52 mb in excess of it, with stocks of oil products actually below the benchmark. Although the OECD is not the whole world, the leading oil producers who agreed to cut output identified the level of the group’s stocks as an indicator of the progress of their initiative. With the surplus having shrunk so dramatically, the success of the output agreement might be close to hand. This, however, is not necessarily the case: oil price rises have come to a halt and gone into reverse, and, according to our supply/demand balance, so might the decline in oil stocks, at least in the early part of this year.
The main factor is US oil production. In just three months to November, crude output increased by a colossal 846 kb/d, and will soon overtake that of Saudi Arabia. By the end of this year, it might also overtake Russia to become the global leader. All the indicators that suggest continued fast growth in the US are in perfect alignment; rising prices leading, after a few months, to more drilling, more completions, more production, and more hedging. In early 2018, the situation is reminiscent of the first wave of US shale growth that, riding the tide of high oil prices in the early years of this decade, made big gains in terms of market share and eventually in 2014 forced a historic change of policy by leading producers. Today, having cut costs dramatically, US producers are enjoying a second wave of growth so extraordinary that in 2018 their increase in liquids production could equal global demand growth. This is a sobering thought for other producers currently sitting on shut-in production capacity and facing a renewed challenge to their market share. Another sobering thought is that it is not just a matter of production: trade patterns are changing. Recently we read of a shipment of condensate from the US to the UAE. Such a development would have seemed incredible a few years ago, now it looks like the shape of things to come.
The components of the oil market balance are dynamic and a lot can change in the next few months: the deteriorating situation in Venezuela is one obvious candidate, and the apparent buoyancy of the global economy could deliver higher demand growth than we currently anticipate. As a result, prices could be maintained at recent levels even as US production rises. If so, most producers will be happy, but if not, history might be repeating itself.
Source: IEA
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Tuesday, 01 May 18
SUPRAMAX: COAL RUNS, A 61,000-DWT WAS FIXED BASIS DELIVERY SURABAYA, FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY INDIA AT $15,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Rates eased in the East, as the week closed out with the momentum slowing. Levels on the key West Australia/China run dropped to $7.25 ...
Tuesday, 01 May 18
GLOBAL MINER PEABODY EYES SALES OPPORTUNITY IN INDIA’S RISING COAL IMPORTS - BUSINESS STANDARD
Indian imports of coal will continue to rise, reckons the world’s largest private sector coal miner Peabody Energy. Glenn Kellow, president a ...
Saturday, 28 April 18
STRONG ASIAN DEMAND CONTINUES TO HOLD UP THERMAL COAL MARKETS - REUTERS
Asian thermal coal demand is defying its typical seasonal slowdown as well as the expanding use of renewables and natural gas, with prices holding ...
Friday, 27 April 18
PEABODY ENERGY'S REVENUES FOR THE FIRST QUARTER ROSE 10 PERCENT OVER THE PRIOR YEAR TO $1.46 BILLION
Peabody Energy's revenues for the first quarter rose 10 percent over the prior year to $1.46 billion driven by improved seaborne coal pricing a ...
Thursday, 26 April 18
BALTIC EXCHANGE LAUNCHES ESCROW SERVICE FOR VESSEL SALES
The Baltic Exchange will be launching an Escrow Service for its members to hold deposits for ship sale transactions. The move will allow Baltic Exc ...
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Showing 1731 to 1735 news of total 6871 |
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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