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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 29 November 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
In line with most expectations for the end of this month, during the past days the Dry Bulk market realized a significant rebound that sent the BDI ...
Tuesday, 28 November 17
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS SHOWN A REMARKABLE RECOVERY THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The Dry Bulk market has shown a remarkable recovery this year with the average earnings having increased by around 63% this year so far compared to ...
Friday, 24 November 17
U.S. PRODUCED 14.9 MMST FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOV 18; UP 0.9% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 23 November 17
PANAMAX: ANOTHER SLOW AND UNEVENTFUL WEEK; DECREASING FREIGHT RATES IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A quiet start to the week. USG closed last week a bit tighter, and continued into the new week on a positive tone with little concluded, ...
Wednesday, 22 November 17
THERMAL COAL WAS FLAT AMID CONCERNS OF FURTHER GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION IN CHINA, SAYS DANIEL HYNES
Coal prices were mixed. Thermal coal was flat amid concerns of further government intervention in China, said Daniel Hynes Senior Commodity Strateg ...
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Showing 1866 to 1870 news of total 6871 |
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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