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Friday, 02 February 18
SUPRAMAX : INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIPS ARE PAYING AROUND MID USD 9000 - FEARNLEYS
FearnleysSupramax
Rather quiet week within Atl, specially Continent due to lack of cargoes.

According to Fearnleys Weekly - Dry bulk report published yesterday, rates dropped most for USG with tonnage building up in that region. Fhauls were done at low 20s and Supras back to Cont were talking around 18k daily. More Chinese buying grain from Black Sea ports helped rates and activity to rise in that region. Quiet start to the week also in the Pacific with however still fixing going on. Next week will show if the slow down before Chinese New Year has already set in or if we will see more activity. Indo/China coal trips are paying Supras around mid USD 9k, while Nopac rounds are paying around low 10k on Ultras and Aussie rv’s around mid USD 9k.

Panamax
Fearnleys further noted, activity in the Pmax market has slowed down gradually the last week. Lack of fresh cargoes in both hemispheres and a growing tonnage list is putting pressure on the freight rates. In the Atlantic region the TA market has dropped to around 12k’s, while fronthaul’s are being fixed in the 17 to 18k’s depending on duration. The sentiment in Asia remain soft with a transpacific RV priced at low 10k’s and the expectations going forward still being soft. In general, Fearnleys says, the short-term outlook for the panamaxes appears to be mixed, but atm it seems that the market heading into a negative direction. FFA’s, Feb is trading at ard 11k’s, while March is now priced at low 12k’s on the P4TC index.

Capesize
Cape market have been uninspiring for the last week. Freight rates been steadily dropping and especially the West Australia/China route have taken a beating, dropping from the low USD 7 pmt level closer to the mid USD 6 pmt level says Fearnleys.

The Brazil/China route have also struggled with limited activity and slowly sliding freight rates. Few fixtures on the Saldanha/Qingdao route as well, where latest fixture ended at the high USD 10 pmt level. According to Oslo based broker Fearnleys, the expectations are that the market will continue to be slow and that a proper increase in activity and freight rates only will return after the Chinese New Year celebrations are finished. Though in the medium term view, the expectations are very positive.


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