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Wednesday, 31 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Days before the celebrations of the Lunar New Year, the dry bulk market seems to be holding well, against negative predictions. Period numbers reported are close to last done levels and despite the pressure in the beginning of the month, the spot market also seems to be resisting a further drop during the past week. All this has helped S&P activity to stay rather strong during a time when Buyers traditionally remain on the sidelines.
But even if 2018 ends up being a good year overall for the dry bulk market or even better than 2017; how long can this last?
Don't get me wrong, I am not expecting a collapse or a blood bath. After the lengthy period during which the massive orderbook had been casting a shadow over earnings and chocking any efforts for recovery, the market seems to have finally started reaching a balance and by this I mean that we are finally heading towards a cyclical behavior of transparent highs and lows.
Now in regards to the duration of those ups and downs, this is yet to be seen but nonetheless a more predictable or at least foreseeable market is something that ship owners, charterers and yards would love to experience again after many years of uncertainty.
We have witnessed rather short cycles in the tanker market with highs and lows being fully developed in a span of 34-44 months. But as far as tankers are concerned, we have also seen a solid differentiation between the crude and product market. It is not wrong to even talk about two different markets instead of unifying them under a single tanker market.
The shorter cycles have caused shrinkage of the duration of any windows for buying low or selling high. It is not unreasonable to expect that the dry bulk market will eventually start to show similar patterns if the aforementioned balance occurs.
It is hard to say if any specific dry bulk size segments that are highly dependable on very specific/limited number of cargoes will form sub-markets that will affect respectively asset values independently from the course of the sector as a whole as it has been the case for tankers. For example product cargo vessels have retained a more stable residual value (especially in the case of assets younger than 11 years) compared the crude carrying ships whose values appeared to be way more volatile.
But this it not the main concern or question of this insight. The main point is that a return to a more cyclical market will indeed require better reflexes on behalf of investors when it comes to placing money into either second hand or newbuilding assets.
This will put pressure to investors to have cash or finance easily accessible when opportunities arise. How will this influence the overall ship-owing land scape is yet to be seen. All of the above is pure speculation. For what is worth, we might be in the doorstep of another super cycle that will last more than 4 years. Time will tell.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 29 November 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
In line with most expectations for the end of this month, during the past days the Dry Bulk market realized a significant rebound that sent the BDI ...
Tuesday, 28 November 17
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS SHOWN A REMARKABLE RECOVERY THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The Dry Bulk market has shown a remarkable recovery this year with the average earnings having increased by around 63% this year so far compared to ...
Friday, 24 November 17
U.S. PRODUCED 14.9 MMST FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOV 18; UP 0.9% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 23 November 17
PANAMAX: ANOTHER SLOW AND UNEVENTFUL WEEK; DECREASING FREIGHT RATES IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A quiet start to the week. USG closed last week a bit tighter, and continued into the new week on a positive tone with little concluded, ...
Wednesday, 22 November 17
THERMAL COAL WAS FLAT AMID CONCERNS OF FURTHER GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION IN CHINA, SAYS DANIEL HYNES
Coal prices were mixed. Thermal coal was flat amid concerns of further government intervention in China, said Daniel Hynes Senior Commodity Strateg ...
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Showing 1866 to 1870 news of total 6871 |
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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